{"id":10300,"date":"2021-02-09T15:06:00","date_gmt":"2021-02-09T13:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=10300"},"modified":"2021-02-09T01:08:57","modified_gmt":"2021-02-08T23:08:57","slug":"a-kinai-kereslet-is-porgeti-a-nemet-ipart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=10300&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A k\u00ednai kereslet is p\u00f6rgeti a n\u00e9met ipart"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az el\u0151z\u0151 h\u00e9t h\u00f3nap n\u00f6veked\u00e9se ut\u00e1n decemberben stagn\u00e1lt az ipari termel\u00e9s N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban, \u00e9s az idei els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3 kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokat is rontja a v\u00e9d\u0151olt\u00e1sok v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l lass\u00fabb ter\u00edt\u00e9se \u2013 \u00edrja a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/gazdasag\/gazdasagi-hirek\/a-nemet-ipart-a-kinai-kereslet-is-porgeti-2-3544666\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=hiraggregator\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Decemberben stagn\u00e1lt az ipari termel\u00e9s N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban az el\u0151z\u0151 h\u00f3naphoz k\u00e9pest \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a Destatis. Annak ellen\u00e9re siker\u00fclt elker\u00fclni a visszaes\u00e9st, hogy mind N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban, mind az uni\u00f3 m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gaiban szigor\u00fa korl\u00e1toz\u00f3 int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket vezettek be. Eur\u00f3pa legnagyobb gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1nak exportorient\u00e1lt gy\u00e1rt\u00f3it ebben a helyzetben f\u0151k\u00e9nt az seg\u00edtette, hogy K\u00edna fel\u0151l er\u0151s maradt a kereslet. Ugyanakkor az elemz\u0151i konszenzus 0,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos havi n\u00f6veked\u00e9ssel sz\u00e1molt decemberre, a megel\u0151z\u0151 h\u00e9t egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 h\u00f3napban m\u00e9rt \u2013 k\u00f6zt\u00fck a novemberi 1,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos \u2013 b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s ut\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"810\" height=\"575\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/autoipar.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10301\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/autoipar.jpg 810w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/autoipar-300x213.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/autoipar-768x545.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A n\u00e9met feldolgoz\u00f3ipar kifejezetten j\u00f3l teljes\u00edtett az elm\u00falt h\u00f3napokban, \u00e9s ez els\u0151sorban a j\u00f3l m\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151 k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1gnak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151 \u2013 mondta Thomas Gitzel, a VP Bank k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sza. Ha a k\u00ednai termel\u00e9s p\u00f6r\u00f6g, akkor a helyi ipar is d\u00fcb\u00f6r\u00f6g \u2013 mondta, hozz\u00e1t\u00e9ve, hogy a n\u00e9met pr\u00e9miumaut\u00f3-gy\u00e1rt\u00e1s k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen nagy hasznot h\u00fazott a j\u00f3 k\u00ednai j\u00f6vedelmi helyzetb\u0151l. Andreas Scheuerle, a DekaBank elemz\u0151je ugyanakkor az egyszeri pozit\u00edv t\u00e9nyez\u0151kre is r\u00e1mutatott. Ezek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt szerepel a forgalmi ad\u00f3 ideiglenes cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s\u00e9nek janu\u00e1ri lej\u00e1rta, valamint az, hogy a brit \u00fcgyfelek a szok\u00e1sosn\u00e1l nagyobb k\u00e9szleteket halmoztak fel a lehets\u00e9ges meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s n\u00e9lk\u00fcli Brexitre felk\u00e9sz\u00fclve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezen okok mellett a Destatis adataib\u00f3l kider\u00fcl, hogy a viszonylag j\u00f3 teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151ipar 3,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos havi n\u00f6veked\u00e9se is seg\u00edtette.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A negat\u00edv t\u00e9nyez\u0151k k\u00f6z\u00f6tt pedig az energiatermel\u00e9s 2,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos visszaes\u00e9se eml\u00edthet\u0151. Az energia- \u00e9s az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151ipar n\u00e9lk\u00fcli adatokat figyelembe v\u00e9ve a kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s 0,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151tt havi szinten. A 2019. decemberit\u0151l 1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal maradt el az ipari termel\u00e9s tavaly decemberben, m\u00edg novemberben 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k volt a cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s \u00e9ves \u00f6sszevet\u00e9sben. A negyedik negyed\u00e9vben az ipari kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s 6,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u00f6vekedett az el\u0151z\u0151 negyed\u00e9vhez k\u00e9pest. 2020 eg\u00e9sz\u00e9t tekintve viszont 8,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos volt a visszaes\u00e9s, ami meggy\u0151z\u0151 bizony\u00edt\u00e9ka a vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny okozta sz\u00e9lesebb gazdas\u00e1gi puszt\u00edt\u00e1snak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A gazdas\u00e1gi miniszt\u00e9rium szerint az ipari szektor kil\u00e1t\u00e1sai az idei els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3an is visszafogottak, tekintettel a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny megf\u00e9kez\u00e9s\u00e9nek neh\u00e9zs\u00e9geire. Az \u00faj ipari megrendel\u00e9sek novemberhez k\u00e9pest m\u00e9rt 1,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se tov\u00e1bb rontja a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokat, azzal egy\u00fctt is, hogy az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9v december\u00e9hez k\u00e9pest a megrendel\u00e9sek volumene 6,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151tt. Szint\u00e9n negat\u00edv jelnek tekinthet\u0151, hogy a v\u00e1rt javul\u00e1s helyett mind a n\u00e9met, mind az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti befektet\u0151i hangulatindex romlott febru\u00e1rra vonatkoz\u00f3an. A mutat\u00f3 az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben 1,5 ponttal, m\u00ednusz 0,2 pontra cs\u00f6kkent a janu\u00e1ri 1,3 pontr\u00f3l, az elemz\u0151k \u00e1ltal v\u00e1rt 1,9 pontra val\u00f3 emelked\u00e9s helyett. A Sentix felm\u00e9r\u00e9se N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban az aktu\u00e1lis helyzet ter\u00e9n n\u00e9mi javul\u00e1st, m\u00edg az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben az aktu\u00e1lis helyzet \u00e9s a kil\u00e1t\u00e1sok meg\u00edt\u00e9l\u00e9s\u00e9ben is roml\u00e1st mutatott.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezt a v\u00e9d\u0151olt\u00e1sok v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l lass\u00fabb t\u00e9r\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9nek tulajdon\u00edtja az elemz\u00e9s, amely szerint az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezet emiatt leszakad\u00f3ban van a vil\u00e1g t\u00f6bbi r\u00e9sz\u00e9t\u0151l, els\u0151sorban az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokt\u00f3l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A n\u00e9met korm\u00e1ny a m\u00falt h\u00f3napban 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra cs\u00f6kkentette az idei \u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3 GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, ami jelent\u0151s kiigaz\u00edt\u00e1sa a tavaly \u0151szi 4,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos becsl\u00e9snek. Ez azt jelenti, hogy a gazdas\u00e1g 2022 k\u00f6zepe el\u0151tt val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg nem \u00e9ri el a j\u00e1rv\u00e1nyt megel\u0151z\u0151 szintj\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/gazdasag\/gazdasagi-hirek\/a-nemet-ipart-a-kinai-kereslet-is-porgeti-2-3544666\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=hiraggregator\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az el\u0151z\u0151 h\u00e9t h\u00f3nap n\u00f6veked\u00e9se ut\u00e1n decemberben stagn\u00e1lt az ipari termel\u00e9s N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban, \u00e9s az idei els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3 kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokat is rontja a v\u00e9d\u0151olt\u00e1sok v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l lass\u00fabb ter\u00edt\u00e9se \u2013 \u00edrja a Vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":10301,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[259],"class_list":["post-10300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-kina"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10300"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10300\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10301"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}