{"id":15660,"date":"2021-10-02T19:45:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-02T16:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=15660"},"modified":"2021-10-02T17:50:49","modified_gmt":"2021-10-02T14:50:49","slug":"melyik-uzemanyag-lesz-a-legkeresettebb-2045-ig","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=15660&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Melyik \u00fczemanyag lesz a legkeresettebb 2045-ig?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az energiabiztons\u00e1g a XXI. sz\u00e1zadban az orsz\u00e1gok t\u00e1rsadalmi-gazdas\u00e1gi stabilit\u00e1s\u00e1nak \u00e9s politikai fejl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9nek egyik alappill\u00e9re, egyben biztos\u00edtja szuverenit\u00e1s\u00e1t.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"574\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/1-90.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/1-90.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/1-90-300x172.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/1-90-768x441.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">B\u00e1r a vil\u00e1g t\u00falnyom\u00f3 a k\u0151olajra \u00e9s a g\u00e1zra sz\u00e1m\u00edt, sok gazdag orsz\u00e1g m\u00e1r megpr\u00f3b\u00e1lja \u00e1t\u00e1ll\u00edtani gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1t az alternat\u00edv energiaforr\u00e1sra. Ennek ellen\u00e9re az OPEC (K\u0151olaj-export\u00e1l\u00f3 Orsz\u00e1gok Szervezete) az okt\u00f3beri, sk\u00f3ciai glasgow-i kl\u00edmacs\u00facsot megel\u0151z\u0151en k\u00f6zz\u00e9tette a World Oil Outlook (WOO) jelent\u00e9st, amely szerint az olaj a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vtizedekben tov\u00e1bbra is a vil\u00e1g legt\u00f6bbet fogyasztott \u00fczemanyaga marad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tanulm\u00e1ny szerint azonban annak ellen\u00e9re, hogy a meg\u00fajul\u00f3 energiaforr\u00e1sok r\u00e9szar\u00e1ny\u00e1nak v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 n\u00f6veked\u00e9se \u00e9s az k\u0151olaj ar\u00e1nya a vil\u00e1gon cs\u00f6kken\u0151 tendenci\u00e1t mutat, egyen\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 alternat\u00edva m\u00e9g nincs kil\u00e1t\u00e1sban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A fent eml\u00edtett jelent\u00e9s szerint, ha 2020-ban a vil\u00e1g energiafogyaszt\u00e1s\u00e1nak 30%-\u00e1t a k\u0151olaj tette ki, 2025-re ez 31% lesz. Ezt k\u00f6vet\u0151en fokozatosan felhalmoz\u00f3dnak az alternat\u00edv energiaforr\u00e1sok, \u00e9s ez a k\u0151olaj r\u00e9szar\u00e1ny\u00e1nak 28%-ra val\u00f3 cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c9s a k\u0151olaj ir\u00e1nti kereslet a vil\u00e1gon a recesszi\u00f3t k\u00f6vet\u0151en, amelyet a vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny \u00e9s a lez\u00e1r\u00e1sok okoztak, a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00f6t \u00e9vben \u00fajraindul. 2026 ut\u00e1n, amikor az k\u0151olajfogyaszt\u00e1s \u00fcteme fokozatosan lelassul a vil\u00e1g fejlett orsz\u00e1gaiban, 2035 ut\u00e1n stabiliz\u00e1l\u00f3dik, v\u00e9lik a szak\u00e9rt\u0151k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ezen k\u00edv\u00fcl az OPEC arra figyelmeztet, hogy a k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 orsz\u00e1gokban 2023 ut\u00e1n az k\u0151olaj ir\u00e1nti kereslet dinamik\u00e1ja elt\u00e9r\u0151 m\u00f3don alakul. Val\u00f3j\u00e1ban n\u00f6veked\u00e9s t\u00falnyom\u00f3r\u00e9szt a fejl\u0151d\u0151 orsz\u00e1gokban lesz tapasztalhat\u00f3 &#8211; a lakoss\u00e1g sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se \u00e9s a k\u00f6z\u00e9poszt\u00e1ly r\u00e9szar\u00e1ny\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se miatt, az OECP orsz\u00e1gaiban (Gazdas\u00e1gi Egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9si \u00e9s Fejleszt\u00e9si Szervezet &#8211; nemzetk\u00f6zi szervezet, amely a vil\u00e1g 37 orsz\u00e1g\u00e1t egyes\u00edti, amelyek t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g\u00e9ben a lakoss\u00e1g nagy r\u00e9sze magas j\u00f6vedelm\u0171, ez\u00e9rt fejlett orsz\u00e1goknak tekintik \u0151ket) viszont 2023-ban \u00e9ri el a cs\u00facsot, miut\u00e1n lassan cs\u00f6kkenni kezd az alternat\u00edv energiaforr\u00e1sok ar\u00e1ny\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"530\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/3-75.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15511\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/3-75.jpg 850w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/3-75-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/3-75-768x479.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c9s negyedsz\u00e1zad m\u00falva, 2045 k\u00f6r\u00fcl az aut\u00f3k sz\u00e1ma a vil\u00e1gon majdnem megk\u00e9tszerez\u0151dik, 2,6 milli\u00e1rd lesz. Az elektromos j\u00e1rm\u0171vek ar\u00e1nya 20%-ra n\u0151, \u00e9s 500 milli\u00f3 aut\u00f3t tesz ki. A bels\u0151 \u00e9g\u00e9s\u0171 motorral felszerelt aut\u00f3k teszik ki nagyobb r\u00e9sz\u00e9t &#8211; 76%-\u00e1t, \u00e9s els\u0151sorban a fejl\u0151d\u0151 orsz\u00e1gokra lesz jellemz\u0151.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett dokumentum adatai szerint az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok 2022-t\u0151l n\u00f6veli a k\u0151olaj kitermel\u00e9s\u00e9t, amely 2030-ra \u00e9ri el a cs\u00facsot, azt k\u00f6vet\u0151en pedig cs\u00f6kkenni kezd. Ezen k\u00edv\u00fcl, 2045-ig Oroszorsz\u00e1gban, Norv\u00e9gi\u00e1ban, Kanad\u00e1ban, K\u00edn\u00e1ban, Kolumbi\u00e1ban \u00e9s Indon\u00e9zi\u00e1ban cs\u00f6kkenni fog a k\u0151olaj kitermel\u00e9se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\">NEWSMAKER<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az energiabiztons\u00e1g a XXI. sz\u00e1zadban az orsz\u00e1gok t\u00e1rsadalmi-gazdas\u00e1gi stabilit\u00e1s\u00e1nak \u00e9s politikai fejl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9nek egyik alappill\u00e9re, egyben biztos\u00edtja szuverenit\u00e1s\u00e1t.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":15509,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15660\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}