{"id":16934,"date":"2021-11-13T11:40:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-13T09:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=16934"},"modified":"2021-11-13T11:17:57","modified_gmt":"2021-11-13T09:17:57","slug":"felminositette-horvatorszagot-a-fitch-2023-ra-horvat-eurocsatlakozast-valoszinusit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=16934&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Felmin\u0151s\u00edtette Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1got a Fitch, 2023-ra horv\u00e1t eur\u00f3csatlakoz\u00e1st val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/horvateurossesfera.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16935\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/horvateurossesfera.jpg 720w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/horvateurossesfera-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Jav\u00edtotta a horv\u00e1t \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g oszt\u00e1lyzat\u00e1t a Fitch Ratings, els\u0151sorban azzal a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s\u00e1val indokolva a l\u00e9p\u00e9st, hogy Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g alig t\u00f6bb mint egy \u00e9v m\u00falva csatlakozhat az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezethez.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A nemzetk\u00f6zi hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 p\u00e9ntek \u00e9jjel Londonban bejelentette, hogy az eddigi BBB m\u00ednuszr\u00f3l egy fokozattal BBB-re emelte Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g hossz\u00fa futamidej\u0171 szuver\u00e9n devizaad\u00f3s-k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9geinek besorol\u00e1s\u00e1t, \u00e9s az \u00faj oszt\u00e1lyzatra is tov\u00e1bbi felmin\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9re utal\u00f3 pozit\u00edv kil\u00e1t\u00e1st hagyott \u00e9rv\u00e9nyben.<br>A l\u00e9p\u00e9shez f\u0171z\u00f6tt indokl\u00e1s\u00e1ban a Fitch Ratings kiemelte: v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sa szerint Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g abban a helyzetben lesz, hogy 2023 janu\u00e1rj\u00e1ban csatlakozhat a valutauni\u00f3hoz.<br>A c\u00e9g szerint Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g a koronav\u00edrus-j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny sokkja ellen\u00e9re is komoly el\u0151rel\u00e9p\u00e9st \u00e9rt el az eur\u00f3tags\u00e1ghoz sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges konvergencia-krit\u00e9riumok \u00e9s szerkezeti reformok teljes\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9ben, \u00e9s az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben is megvan a politikai t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s a horv\u00e1t csatlakoz\u00e1shoz.<br>A Fitch kiemeli azt is, hogy az \u00e1ltala v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l el\u0151bb l\u00e9phet be Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetbe, a c\u00e9g ugyanis kor\u00e1bban ezt 2024-re val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edtette.<br>Az eur\u00f3csatlakoz\u00e1s t\u00e1mogat\u00f3an hat a horv\u00e1t \u00e1llamad\u00f3s-min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9sre, mivel az eur\u00f3 meghonos\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1val Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1gnak tartal\u00e9kvaluta-st\u00e1tusban l\u00e9v\u0151 fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6ze lesz, emellett a bel\u00e9p\u00e9s cs\u00f6kkenti a tranzakci\u00f3s k\u00f6lts\u00e9geket \u00e9s korl\u00e1tozza a h\u00e1ztart\u00e1sok \u00e9s a v\u00e1llalati szektor p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi m\u00e9rleg\u00e9t terhel\u0151 \u00e1rfolyamkock\u00e1zatokat is &#8211; \u00e1ll a Fitch Ratings elemz\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<br>A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 hangs\u00falyozza: az \u00faj, jav\u00edtott oszt\u00e1lyzatra \u00e9rv\u00e9nyben hagyott pozit\u00edv kil\u00e1t\u00e1s azt t\u00fckr\u00f6zi, hogy az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti csatlakoz\u00e1s k\u00f6zvetlen kedvez\u0151 hat\u00e1st gyakorol Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g szuver\u00e9n min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9si modellj\u00e9re, mindenekel\u0151tt az eur\u00f3 tartal\u00e9kvaluta-st\u00e1tus\u00e1b\u00f3l ered\u0151 rugalmass\u00e1g r\u00e9v\u00e9n, \u00e9s ez megteremti a tov\u00e1bbi felmin\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t.<br>A Fitch Ratings kiemeli azt is, hogy az \u00e1ltala kor\u00e1bban v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l sokkal er\u0151teljesebbnek bizonyult a horv\u00e1t gazdas\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9si teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye, els\u0151sorban a turisztikai \u00e1gazat fellend\u00fcl\u00e9se \u00e9s az exportszektor ellen\u00e1ll\u00f3k\u00e9pess\u00e9ge miatt.<br>A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 szerint a horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1gi turistaforgalom az id\u00e9n val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg el\u00e9ri a 2019-es szint 80 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t.<br>A Fitch k\u00f6z\u00f6lte: a kor\u00e1bbi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9ben szerepl\u0151 5,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l 8,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra emelte a horv\u00e1t gazdas\u00e1g idei n\u00f6veked\u00e9si \u00fctem\u00e9re sz\u00f3l\u00f3 progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t, \u00e9s azzal sz\u00e1mol, hogy a horv\u00e1t hazai \u00f6sszterm\u00e9k (GDP) m\u00e1r 2021 v\u00e9g\u00e9n t\u00fall\u00e9pi a 2019-ben el\u00e9rt \u00e9rt\u00e9ket.<br>A c\u00e9g megjegyzi, hogy a 2008-2009-es glob\u00e1lis p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi v\u00e1ls\u00e1g ut\u00e1n m\u00e9g nyolc \u00e9vbe telt, mire a horv\u00e1t gazdas\u00e1g teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye meghaladta a v\u00e1ls\u00e1g el\u0151tti szintet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forr\u00e1s: mti.hu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jav\u00edtotta a horv\u00e1t \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g oszt\u00e1lyzat\u00e1t a Fitch Ratings, els\u0151sorban azzal a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s\u00e1val indokolva a l\u00e9p\u00e9st, hogy Horv\u00e1torsz\u00e1g alig t\u00f6bb mint egy \u00e9v m\u00falva csatlakozhat az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezethez.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16935,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,49,39],"tags":[3648],"class_list":["post-16934","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-horvatorszag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16934","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16934"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16934\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16935"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16934"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16934"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16934"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}