{"id":17225,"date":"2021-11-24T21:07:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-24T19:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=17225"},"modified":"2021-11-24T16:27:29","modified_gmt":"2021-11-24T14:27:29","slug":"milyen-lesz-a-hrivnya-arfolyama-decemberben-es-2022-ben","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=17225&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Milyen lesz a hrivnya \u00e1rfolyama decemberben \u00e9s 2022-ben?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00e1llami k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9s j\u00f3v\u00e1hagy\u00e1sa folyamatban van, a hrivnya 2022-es \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1nak el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se az egyik legaktu\u00e1lisabb k\u00e9rd\u00e9s. A k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si tervezet 28,6-28,7 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt hat\u00e1rozta meg a hrivnya \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"684\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/17-2-1024x684.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/17-2-1024x684.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/17-2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/17-2-768x513.jpg 768w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/17-2.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Annak ellen\u00e9re, hogy a 2021-es k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9sben a hrivnya \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t 29,1 hrivnya\/doll\u00e1r szinten hat\u00e1rozt\u00e1k meg, az ukr\u00e1n valuta folyamatosan er\u0151s\u00edtette poz\u00edci\u00f3j\u00e1t az \u00e9v sor\u00e1n, \u00e9s november 9-\u00e9n el\u00e9rte a 26,08 hrivnya\/doll\u00e1r-t. Ez a hrivnya doll\u00e1rral szembeni er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9nek rekordja volt az elm\u00falt m\u00e1sf\u00e9l \u00e9vben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00e1llami k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9sben r\u00f6gz\u00edtett \u00e9s a t\u00e9nyleges \u00e1rfolyam k\u00f6z\u00f6tti k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9g okot ad felt\u00e9telezni, hogy a hrivnya le\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9se id\u00e9n december elej\u00e9n kezd\u0151dik meg, \u00edrta Olekszandr Radcsuk politol\u00f3gus a Szlovo i Gyilo rovat\u00e1ban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A 2021-es \u00e9v egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en megmutatta, hogy a hrivnya a kedvez\u0151tlen k\u00fcls\u0151 \u00e9s bels\u0151 t\u00e9nyez\u0151k mellett nemcsak tartani tudja \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t, hanem er\u0151s\u00f6dni is k\u00e9pes a doll\u00e1rral \u00e9s az eur\u00f3val szemben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mi befoly\u00e1solta a hrivnya er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hrivnya a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi deviz\u00e1kkal szembeni er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t befoly\u00e1sol\u00f3 egyik legjelent\u0151sebb t\u00e9nyez\u0151 a szak\u00e9rt\u0151k szerint az ukr\u00e1n termel\u0151k \u00e9s besz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3k magas export\u00e1rai, valamint az IMF hitel r\u00e9szletei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c1remelked\u00e9sek a nyersanyagpiacokon, ebb\u0151l kifoly\u00f3lag n\u0151tt az ukr\u00e1n export\u0151r\u00f6k bev\u00e9tele<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az export\u0151r\u00f6k devizabev\u00e9telei a nyersanyagpiaci rekord\u00e1rak mellett emelkedtek, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az \u00e9v els\u0151 fel\u00e9ben. A f\u00e9m \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 bev\u00e9tel 80%-kal n\u0151tt a tavalyi \u00e9vhez k\u00e9pest. A rekord gabonaterm\u00e9snek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en pedig jelent\u0151sen n\u0151ttek a mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1gi term\u00e9kek \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 bev\u00e9telek, k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a 24 Ekonomika. A hrivnya deviz\u00e1val szembeni er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t befoly\u00e1solta az arany- \u00e9s devizatartal\u00e9kok magas szintje, az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g fokozatos fel\u00e9p\u00fcl\u00e9se a koronav\u00edrus j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny okozta v\u00e1ls\u00e1gb\u00f3l, valamint a k\u00fclf\u00f6ld\u00f6n munk\u00e1t v\u00e1llal\u00f3 ukr\u00e1nok deviza \u00e1tutal\u00e1sainak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Az idegenmunk\u00e1sok \u00e1tutal\u00e1sai k\u00e9t IMF-hitel \u00f6sszeg\u00e9vel egyel\u0151ek<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2021 els\u0151 8 h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban az Ukrajn\u00e1ba ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 mag\u00e1n\u00e1tutal\u00e1sok \u00f6sszege el\u00e9rte a 9,1 milli\u00e1rd hrivny\u00e1t, ami t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi cs\u00facs. Bohdan Danilisin, az Nemzeti Bank tan\u00e1cs\u00e1nak vezet\u0151je Facebook-oldal\u00e1n k\u00f6z\u00f6lte, hogy ezen \u00e1tutal\u00e1sok oroszl\u00e1nr\u00e9sze a k\u00fclf\u00f6ld\u00f6n dolgoz\u00f3 ukr\u00e1nok b\u00e9r\u00e9b\u0151l sz\u00e1rmazik. Ez k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 7,4 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r. \u00d6sszehasonl\u00edt\u00e1sk\u00e9ppen: a munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3k k\u00fclf\u00f6ldr\u0151l Ukrajn\u00e1ba \u00e1tutalt \u00f6sszege k\u00e9tszerese az IMF-t\u0151l kapott k\u00f6lcs\u00f6n \u00f6sszeg\u00e9nek, sz\u00e1molt be a Szlovo i Gyilo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A lakoss\u00e1g k\u00f6r\u00e9ben cs\u00f6kkent a valuta ir\u00e1nti kereslet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anna Volujcsak, az UNEX Bank \u00e1llamkincst\u00e1ri m\u0171veleti f\u0151oszt\u00e1ly\u00e1nak igazgat\u00f3ja a 24-es csatorn\u00e1nak adott interj\u00faj\u00e1ban megjegyezte, a hrivnya er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9nek egyik oka a valuta ir\u00e1nti kereslet cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se a lakoss\u00e1g k\u00f6r\u00e9ben. A Nemzeti Bank adatai szerint 2021 els\u0151 10 h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban az ukr\u00e1nok 1,7 milli\u00e1rddal kevesebb valut\u00e1t v\u00e1s\u00e1roltak, mint amennyit eladtak. Ezzel a devizak\u00edn\u00e1lat fel\u00fclkerekedik a kereslet felett, a hrivnya pedig er\u0151s\u00f6dik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mi lesz a j\u00f6v\u0151ben<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha Ukrajn\u00e1nak elegend\u0151 g\u00e1z- \u00e9s sz\u00e9ntartal\u00e9ka lesz a f\u0171t\u00e9si szezon v\u00e9g\u00e9re \u00e9s siker\u00fcl elker\u00fclnie az \u00fajabb politikai v\u00e1ls\u00e1got, akkor van okunk stabil \u00e9s kisz\u00e1m\u00edthat\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyamot j\u00f3solni az \u00faj\u00e9vre \u00e9s a kar\u00e1csonyi \u00fcnnepekre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az ukr\u00e1n hrivnya le\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s\u00e9t el\u0151id\u00e9zhet\u0151 kock\u00e1zati t\u00e9nyez\u0151k k\u00f6z\u00fcl az els\u0151 a magas \u00e1ron t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 g\u00e1zbeszerz\u00e9s, ami a valuta ir\u00e1nti nagy kereslethez vezethet. Ez\u00e9rt janu\u00e1r-febru\u00e1rban meredek \u00e1rfolyam-emelked\u00e9sre, azaz a hrivnya gyeng\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edthatunk. Olekszandr Radcsuk el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a hrivnya legingatagabb id\u0151szaka janu\u00e1r k\u00f6zep\u00e9n kezd\u0151dik \u00e9s 2022 \u00e1prilis\u00e1ig tart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\">(<strong>MI<\/strong>\/Okszana CSOPAK)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az \u00e1llami k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9s j\u00f3v\u00e1hagy\u00e1sa folyamatban van, a hrivnya 2022-es \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1nak el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se az egyik legaktu\u00e1lisabb k\u00e9rd\u00e9s. A k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si tervezet 28,6-28,7 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt hat\u00e1rozta meg a hrivnya \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1593,41,49,33],"tags":[185,433],"class_list":["post-17225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-ukrajna","tag-arfolyam","tag-hrivnya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17225\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}