{"id":17896,"date":"2021-12-19T10:01:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-19T08:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=17896"},"modified":"2021-12-18T18:47:43","modified_gmt":"2021-12-18T16:47:43","slug":"ismertte-valtak-vilaggazdasag-legnagyobb-kockazatai-2022-ben","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=17896&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Ismertt\u00e9 v\u00e1ltak vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g legnagyobb kock\u00e1zatai 2022-ben"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az k\u00f6zismert Bloomberg \u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g elemz\u0151i szerint a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vben negat\u00edvan befoly\u00e1solhatja a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g helyzet\u00e9t az \u00faj Omicron t\u00f6rzs, Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s Ukrajna k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kapcsolatokban l\u00e9v\u0151 fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek, a magas infl\u00e1ci\u00f3, a k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1gi visszaes\u00e9s \u00e9s m\u00e9g m\u00e1sok.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c1ltal\u00e1noss\u00e1gban elmondhat\u00f3, hogy a legt\u00f6bb gazdas\u00e1gi elemz\u0151 a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g folyamatos fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edt 2022-ben, sz\u00e1mos t\u00e9nyez\u0151 azonban h\u00e1tr\u00e1ltathatja a gazdas\u00e1gi fejl\u0151d\u00e9st, k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/1-2021-12-14t234054115.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17811\" width=\"818\" height=\"327\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/1-2021-12-14t234054115.jpg 640w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/1-2021-12-14t234054115-300x120.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 818px) 100vw, 818px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nhet? L\u00e9nyeg\u00e9ben sok minden. P\u00e9ld\u00e1ul, ha az Omicron-t\u00f6rzs fert\u0151z\u0151bbnek \u00e9s hal\u00e1losabbnak bizonyul, az elker\u00fclhetetlen\u00fcl negat\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal lesz a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Bloomberg szerint m\u00e9g a legszigor\u00fabb 3 h\u00f3napra bevezetett korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sok a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s 4,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos lassul\u00e1s\u00e1t eredm\u00e9nyezheti 2022-ben. Ilyen forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv eset\u00e9n gyeng\u00e9bb lesz a kereslet, gondok lesznek az ell\u00e1t\u00e1ssal \u00e9s a logisztik\u00e1val. A Bloomberg az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 meredek emelked\u00e9s\u00e9nek vesz\u00e9ly\u00e9r\u0151l is \u00edr. Teh\u00e1t ha 2021 elej\u00e9n azt j\u00f3solt\u00e1k, hogy az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok 2%-os infl\u00e1ci\u00f3val z\u00e1rja majd az \u00e9vet, akkor ez a sz\u00e1m m\u00e1r k\u00f6zel 7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s Ukrajna k\u00f6z\u00f6tti fesz\u00fclts\u00e9g a f\u00f6ldg\u00e1z \u00e1r\u00e1nak emelked\u00e9s\u00e9hez is vezethet, \u00e9s ez jelent\u0151s hat\u00e1ssal lesz a gazdas\u00e1gi folyamatokra nem csak Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban, \u00e9vagy p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a K\u00f6zel-Keleten. Az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 tov\u00e1bbi emelked\u00e9s\u00e9t befoly\u00e1sol\u00f3 t\u00e9nyez\u0151k k\u00f6z\u00f6tt a Bloomberg a kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st is megnevezi, amely puszt\u00edt\u00f3 id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1si jelens\u00e9gekhez vezet, amelyek befoly\u00e1solhatj\u00e1k az \u00e9lelmiszer\u00e1rakat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az amerikai jegybank alapkamat emel\u00e9se is negat\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal lehet a fejl\u0151d\u0151 piacokra. A magas kamatl\u00e1bak er\u0151s\u00edtik az amerikai doll\u00e1rt, t\u0151keki\u00e1raml\u00e1st \u00e9s devizav\u00e1ls\u00e1got okoznak az orsz\u00e1gokban. A Bloomberg Argent\u00edn\u00e1t, a D\u00e9l-Afrikai K\u00f6zt\u00e1rsas\u00e1got, T\u00f6r\u00f6korsz\u00e1got, Braz\u00edli\u00e1t \u00e9s Egyiptomot nevezi meg azon orsz\u00e1gok k\u00f6z\u00f6tt, amelyeket 2022-ben ez a kock\u00e1zat fenyeget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"630\" height=\"333\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/2-2021-12-14t234058289.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17812\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/2-2021-12-14t234058289.jpg 630w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/2-2021-12-14t234058289-300x159.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett anyagban megjegyzik, K\u00edn\u00e1ban 2021 harmadik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben \u201ele\u00e1llt a gazdas\u00e1g\u201d. Peking probl\u00e9m\u00e1i az energiaforr\u00e1sok hi\u00e1ny\u00e1t illet\u0151en kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 lesznek kritikusak, de m\u00e1s probl\u00e9m\u00e1k tov\u00e1bbra is fenn\u00e1llnak. Ugyanakkor az elemz\u0151k a k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1g 5,7% n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t j\u00f3solj\u00e1k 2022-re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az anyag szerz\u0151i szerint a geopolitika hat\u00e1ssal lehet a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gra is. P\u00e9ld\u00e1ul egy \u00fajabb eszkal\u00e1ci\u00f3 K\u00edna r\u00e9sz\u00e9r\u0151l Tajvan kapcs\u00e1n az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok ellenreakci\u00f3j\u00e1t v\u00e1lthatja ki, \u00e9s \u201eszuperhatalmak h\u00e1bor\u00faj\u00e1hoz\u201d vezethet, amelyet az \u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g a \u201elegrosszabb verzi\u00f3nak\u201d nevez, m\u00e1s forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyvekben szerepelnek szankci\u00f3k is, amelyek befagyasztj\u00e1k a vil\u00e1g k\u00e9t legnagyobb gazdas\u00e1ga k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kapcsolatokat, valamint a tajvani f\u00e9lvezet\u0151ipar \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1t okozhatja, amely kiemelked\u0151en fontos szerepet j\u00e1tszik a glob\u00e1lis gy\u00e1rt\u00e1sban, az okos telefonokt\u00f3l a g\u00e9pkocsikig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"533\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/3-2021-12-14t234059910.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17813\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/3-2021-12-14t234059910.jpg 800w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/3-2021-12-14t234059910-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/3-2021-12-14t234059910-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kristalina Georgieva, a Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) vezet\u0151je e h\u00f3nap elej\u00e9n k\u00f6z\u00f6lte, a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9se cs\u00f6kkenhet \u201ea koronav\u00edrus Omicron t\u00f6rzs\u00e9nek terjed\u00e9se miatt\u201d. Az IMF kor\u00e1bbi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g 2021-ben 5,9%-kal, 2022-ben pedig 4,9%-kal b\u0151v\u00fcl. A szak\u00e9rt\u0151k ugyanakkor r\u00e1mutattak arra, hogy nagyon sok minden f\u00fcgg att\u00f3l, hogy alakul a Covid-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>NEWSMAKER<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az k\u00f6zismert Bloomberg \u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g elemz\u0151i szerint a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vben negat\u00edvan befoly\u00e1solhatja a vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1g helyzet\u00e9t az \u00faj Omicron t\u00f6rzs, Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s Ukrajna k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kapcsolatokban l\u00e9v\u0151 fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek, a magas infl\u00e1ci\u00f3, a k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1gi visszaes\u00e9s \u00e9s m\u00e9g m\u00e1sok.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":17811,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[31308,31358,711],"class_list":["post-17896","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-31308","tag-kockazatok","tag-vilaggazdasag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17896","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17896\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17811"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}