{"id":19975,"date":"2022-02-23T18:16:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-23T16:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=19975"},"modified":"2022-02-23T16:37:20","modified_gmt":"2022-02-23T14:37:20","slug":"az-ifw-gazdasagkutato-intezet-szerint-hatekony-lehet-az-oroszorszag-elleni-energiaembargo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=19975&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az IfW gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 int\u00e9zet szerint hat\u00e9kony lehet az Oroszorsz\u00e1g elleni energiaembarg\u00f3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Kieli Vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi Int\u00e9zet (IfW) tanulm\u00e1nya szerint a g\u00e1zzal folytatott kereskedelem le\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa az orosz gazdas\u00e1gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny k\u00f6zel 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9t, az olajjal folytatott kereskedelem le\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa pedig b\u0151 1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t eredm\u00e9nyezn\u00e9. N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s az EU sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra viszont a gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00e1r mindk\u00e9t esetben rendk\u00edv\u00fcl csek\u00e9ly lenne.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"890\" height=\"501\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/olaj.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19978\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/olaj.jpg 890w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/olaj-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/olaj-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 890px) 100vw, 890px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az int\u00e9zet KITE kereskedelmi modellje azt mutatja ki, hogy egy Oroszorsz\u00e1ggal szembeni kereskedelmi embarg\u00f3 k\u00f6z\u00e9pt\u00e1von hogyan hatna egyes term\u00e9kcsoportokra. Ezek szerint a g\u00e1zembarg\u00f3nak lenn\u00e9nek a legs\u00falyosabb gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyei: Oroszorsz\u00e1g brutt\u00f3 hazai term\u00e9ke (GDP) 2,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal esne vissza. N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g GDP-je ezzel szemben enyh\u00e9n, 0,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u00f6vekedne, \u00e9s az EU GDP-je is minim\u00e1lisan emelkedne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az olajra vonatkoz\u00f3 kereskedelmi embarg\u00f3 Oroszorsz\u00e1g eset\u00e9ben 1,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos, N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s az EU eset\u00e9ben pedig 0,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9st eredm\u00e9nyezne a gazdas\u00e1gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyben. A g\u00e9pekre \u00e9s g\u00e9palkatr\u00e9szekre vonatkoz\u00f3 embarg\u00f3 0,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, a j\u00e1rm\u0171vekre \u00e9s j\u00e1rm\u0171alkatr\u00e9szekre vonatkoz\u00f3 embarg\u00f3 pedig 0,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal cs\u00f6kkenten\u00e9 Oroszorsz\u00e1g gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1t. N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s az EU sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra mindk\u00e9t int\u00e9zked\u00e9snek csak minim\u00e1lis negat\u00edv hat\u00e1sai lenn\u00e9nek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1saink csak p\u00e9ldak\u00e9nt szolg\u00e1lnak, de egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy a kereskedelmi embarg\u00f3 k\u00f6z\u00e9pt\u00e1v\u00fa gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyei sokkal jobban s\u00fajtan\u00e1k Oroszorsz\u00e1got, mint a nyugati sz\u00f6vets\u00e9geseket&#8221; &#8211; mondta Hendrik Mahlkow, az IfW Kiel kereskedelmi kutat\u00f3ja, aki a sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sokat v\u00e9gezte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MTI<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Kieli Vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi Int\u00e9zet (IfW) tanulm\u00e1nya szerint a g\u00e1zzal folytatott kereskedelem le\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa az orosz gazdas\u00e1gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny k\u00f6zel 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9t, az olajjal folytatott kereskedelem le\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa pedig b\u0151 1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t eredm\u00e9nyezn\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":19978,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[543,26683,183],"class_list":["post-19975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-gazdasagi-szankciok","tag-kereskedelmi-embargo","tag-oroszorszag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19975","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19975"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19975\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/19978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}