{"id":27140,"date":"2022-07-26T19:05:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-26T16:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=27140"},"modified":"2022-07-26T18:50:57","modified_gmt":"2022-07-26T15:50:57","slug":"ukrajna-gazdasaga-mar-osszel-zuhanorepulesbe-kezdhet-financial-times","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=27140&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1ga m\u00e1r \u0151sszel zuhan\u00f3rep\u00fcl\u00e9sbe kezdhet \u2013 Financial Times"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u0150szre kimer\u00fclhetnek Ukrajna p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi forr\u00e1sai, \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1g meredek zuhan\u00e1sba kezdhet, hi\u00e1ba k\u00f6t\u00f6ttek meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1st az orsz\u00e1g k\u00fcls\u0151 ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gt\u00f6rleszt\u00e9s\u00e9nek k\u00e9t \u00e9vre t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 halaszt\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l \u2013 \u00edrta kedden a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/65b63b3a-bb58-4b5a-b827-15ce48b24c1d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Financial Times<\/a> c\u00edm\u0171 brit lap, sz\u00e1molt be az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epravda.com.ua\/news\/2022\/07\/26\/689648\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ukrajinszka Pravda <\/a>h\u00edrport\u00e1l.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A jelent\u00e9s szerint a brit \u00fajs\u00e1g megjegyezte, hogy a h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt az ukr\u00e1n havi kiad\u00e1sok a febru\u00e1ri 250 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1rr\u00f3l m\u00e1jusra 3,3 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra n\u0151ttek. A korm\u00e1ny m\u00e1ris drasztikusan cs\u00f6kkentette a napi szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sokra ford\u00edtott kiad\u00e1sokat, hogy fedezze a hadisz\u00fcks\u00e9gleteket. Emellett a hat\u00f3s\u00e1gok m\u00e9g hat\u00e1rozottabb int\u00e9zked\u00e9sekre k\u00e9sz\u00fclnek.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"675\" height=\"379\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/ukran-gazdasag-gdp.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-27141\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/ukran-gazdasag-gdp.png 675w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/ukran-gazdasag-gdp-300x168.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 675px) 100vw, 675px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201eValaminek t\u00f6rt\u00e9nnie kell az orsz\u00e1gban \u2013 vagy emelni kell az ad\u00f3kat, vagy cs\u00f6kkenteni kell a kiad\u00e1sokat, ha ez nem kritikus. Mindenki azt hitte, hogy a h\u00e1bor\u00fa hamarosan v\u00e9get \u00e9r. De ez h\u00f3napokig, ha nem \u00e9vekig fog tartani\u201d \u2013 j\u00f3solja Jurij Horodnyicsenko, a kaliforniai Berkeley Egyetem k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sz professzora.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maria Repko, a Gazdas\u00e1gstrat\u00e9giai K\u00f6zpont igazgat\u00f3helyettese szerint a v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1sokat s\u00fajt\u00f3 tov\u00e1bbi ad\u00f3k azok cs\u0151dj\u00e9hez vezethetnek, ami csak fokozza a humanit\u00e1rius v\u00e1ls\u00e1got. Szerinte ha a katonai kiad\u00e1sok nagyar\u00e1ny\u00fa emel\u00e9se a jelenlegi szinten folytat\u00f3dik, akkor \u0151sszel ism\u00e9t elfogynak a forr\u00e1sok. Azt is megjegyezte, hogy k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s n\u00e9lk\u00fcl az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g \u201emeredek hanyatl\u00e1sba kezd\u201d, \u00e9s lehetetlen lesz a h\u00e1bor\u00fa folytat\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul egy k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi bank\u00e1r, aki egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6dik az ukr\u00e1n hat\u00f3s\u00e1gokkal, azt mondta, hogy a Kijevnek ny\u00fajtott k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi seg\u00e9lyek nem elegend\u0151ek \u00e9s t\u00fal lass\u00faak, m\u00edg a k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9gek \u00e9ppen ellenkez\u0151leg, nagyon nagyok. Az orosz inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 kezdete \u00f3ta Ukrajna 12,7 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1ros p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi t\u00e1mogat\u00e1st kapott az \u00edg\u00e9rt 38 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rb\u00f3l. Ukrajna nett\u00f3 tartal\u00e9ka m\u00e1r csak 12,9 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r a febru\u00e1ri 19 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rral szemben. Ez k\u00e9t \u00e9s f\u00e9l h\u00f3napra elegend\u0151 a sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges term\u00e9kek importj\u00e1nak finansz\u00edroz\u00e1s\u00e1ra: a mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1gi er\u0151forr\u00e1sokt\u00f3l az aut\u00f3alkatr\u00e9szekig \u00e9s az \u00fczemanyagokig.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viktor Szab\u00f3, a brit Abrdn alapkezel\u0151 t\u00e1rsas\u00e1g befektet\u00e9si igazgat\u00f3ja \u00fagy v\u00e9li, hogy az ukr\u00e1n korm\u00e1ny lehet\u0151s\u00e9gei nagyon korl\u00e1tozottak. Szerinte Kijev olyan helyzetbe ker\u00fclhet, hogy m\u00e9g az ukr\u00e1nokkal szemben sem lesz k\u00e9pes minden szoci\u00e1lis k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9g\u00e9t teljes\u00edteni. \u201eHa el\u00e9getik a tartal\u00e9kaikat, el kell d\u00f6nteni\u00fck, hogy a katon\u00e1kat vagy az \u00e1pol\u00f3kat fizetik. Probl\u00e9m\u00e1k lesznek az iskol\u00e1k \u00e9s k\u00f3rh\u00e1zak m\u0171k\u00f6dtet\u00e9s\u00e9vel. Ez katasztr\u00f3fa \u2013 mutatott r\u00e1 a befektet\u00e9si igazgat\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Fitch Ratings el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint Ukrajna GDP-je 2022-ben 33%-kal cs\u00f6kken, 2023-ban viszont m\u00e1r eg\u00e9szen 4%-kal n\u0151.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(vb\/pravda.com.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; creatorid:bey5821&nbsp;&#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0150szre kimer\u00fclhetnek Ukrajna p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi forr\u00e1sai, \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1g meredek zuhan\u00e1sba kezdhet, hi\u00e1ba k\u00f6t\u00f6ttek meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1st az orsz\u00e1g k\u00fcls\u0151 ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gt\u00f6rleszt\u00e9s\u00e9nek k\u00e9t \u00e9vre t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 halaszt\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":27141,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1593,41,33854,17,33],"tags":[68722,68724,68723,1881],"class_list":["post-27140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-gazdasagi-zuhanas","tag-gazdasagstrategiai-kozpont","tag-maria-repko","tag-ukran-gazdasag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27140"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27140\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27142,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27140\/revisions\/27142"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}