{"id":28313,"date":"2022-08-18T13:33:00","date_gmt":"2022-08-18T10:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=28313"},"modified":"2022-08-18T13:53:16","modified_gmt":"2022-08-18T10:53:16","slug":"meg-ez-is-mutragyahiany-fenyegeti-europat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=28313&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e9g ez is: M\u0171tr\u00e1gyahi\u00e1ny fenyegeti Eur\u00f3p\u00e1t"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az energiav\u00e1ls\u00e1g termel\u00e9s\u00fck visszafog\u00e1s\u00e1ra k\u00e9nyszer\u00edti Eur\u00f3pa termel\u0151it, az import pedig egyre dr\u00e1gul.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az egekbe sz\u00f6k\u0151 g\u00e1z\u00e1rak m\u00e1r most is nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l egynegyed\u00e9vel cs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k Eur\u00f3pa nitrog\u00e9nalap\u00fa m\u0171tr\u00e1gyagy\u00e1rt\u00e1s\u00e1t a CRU Group becsl\u00e9sei szerint. A v\u00e1ls\u00e1g a t\u00e9l k\u00f6zeledt\u00e9vel fokoz\u00f3dik, ami azt jelenti, hogy az \u00f6reg kontinens egyre jobban r\u00e1 lesz utalva az alapanyagul szolg\u00e1l\u00f3 amm\u00f3nia importj\u00e1ra. Ez ut\u00f3bbit nitrog\u00e9nb\u0151l \u00e9s hidrog\u00e9nb\u0151l \u00e1ll\u00edtj\u00e1k el\u0151, a nitrog\u00e9nt pedig a f\u00f6ldg\u00e1zb\u00f3l nyerik ki.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/af8f87cff809412ba7bb8216a6a73d6e-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28314\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/af8f87cff809412ba7bb8216a6a73d6e-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/af8f87cff809412ba7bb8216a6a73d6e-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/af8f87cff809412ba7bb8216a6a73d6e-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/af8f87cff809412ba7bb8216a6a73d6e.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Nemzetk\u00f6zi M\u0171tr\u00e1gya Sz\u00f6vets\u00e9g (IFA) figyelmeztet\u00e9se szerint a dr\u00e1gul\u00f3 m\u0171tr\u00e1gya miatt a farmerek glob\u00e1lisan nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l h\u00e9t sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal cs\u00f6kkentik a felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1st. Ez visszavetheti a term\u00e9s\u00e1tlagokat, s\u00falyosb\u00edtva ezzel a glob\u00e1lis \u00e9lelmez\u00e9si v\u00e1ls\u00e1got.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha az eur\u00f3pai mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1g t\u00f6bbet import\u00e1l, akkor a szubszaharai Afrika, D\u00e9lkelet-\u00c1zsia, valamint Latin-Amerika t\u00f6r\u00e9keny mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1g\u00fa t\u00e9rs\u00e9gei glob\u00e1lis hi\u00e1nnyal szembes\u00fclhetnek \u2013 mondta a Bloomberg h\u00edr\u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9gnek Laura Cross, az IFA piackutat\u00e1s\u00e9rt felel\u0151s igazgat\u00f3ja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A sz\u00f6vets\u00e9g becsl\u00e9sei szerint a dr\u00e1ga m\u0171tr\u00e1gya a szubszaharai t\u00e9rs\u00e9gben okozza a legnagyobb fogyaszt\u00e1scs\u00f6kken\u00e9st, itt a felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s 23 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal is visszaeshet. Az elm\u00falt h\u00f3napokban tapasztalt enyh\u00fcl\u00e9s ut\u00e1n a m\u0171tr\u00e1gya \u00e1ra ism\u00e9t emelked\u00e9snek indult a vil\u00e1gpiacon, p\u00e1rhuzamosan a g\u00e1z\u00e1rak n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9vel. Az eur\u00f3pai h\u0151s\u00e9ghull\u00e1m, valamint az orosz export cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rult az ellen\u00e9rt\u00e9kek megugr\u00e1s\u00e1hoz.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/6218e2cd392a423f8312f451c1256a8f.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28315\" width=\"596\" height=\"584\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/6218e2cd392a423f8312f451c1256a8f.jpg 900w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/6218e2cd392a423f8312f451c1256a8f-300x294.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/6218e2cd392a423f8312f451c1256a8f-768x753.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 596px) 100vw, 596px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00f6reg kontinensen j\u00faliusban t\u00edz nagyobb gy\u00e1r f\u00fcggesztette fel vagy cs\u00f6kkentette a termel\u00e9st, tov\u00e1bb fokozva ezzel a piacon az oroszok ukrajnai inv\u00e1zi\u00f3ja nyom\u00e1n kialakult k\u00e1oszt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A helyzetet s\u00falyosb\u00edtja egy m\u00e1sik fontos m\u0171tr\u00e1gya-alapanyag, a k\u00e1lium behozatali tilalma. A vil\u00e1g egyik legnagyobb k\u00e1liumexport\u0151re a feh\u00e9rorosz Belaruszk\u00e1lij, amely b\u00e9keid\u0151ben az ottani export 8,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t adta. A h\u00e1bor\u00fa kapcs\u00e1n hozott szankci\u00f3k azonban tiltj\u00e1k a feh\u00e9rorosz importot. K\u00edna a saj\u00e1t gazdas\u00e1ga biztons\u00e1gos ell\u00e1t\u00e1sa \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben korl\u00e1tozta a kivitelt, m\u00edg a szankci\u00f3k miatt az orosz k\u00e1lium eur\u00f3pai importja is komoly neh\u00e9zs\u00e9gekbe \u00fctk\u00f6zik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A CRU szerint jelenleg az amm\u00f3ni\u00e1t sokkal olcs\u00f3bb m\u00e1shonnan import\u00e1lni, mint Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban gy\u00e1rtani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eAz amm\u00f3nia \u00e1ra v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an tov\u00e1bb emelkedik, nem igaz\u00e1n l\u00e1tom, hogy kinek \u00e9rn\u00e9 meg Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban m\u0171tr\u00e1gy\u00e1t gy\u00e1rtani, hacsak nem fedezte kor\u00e1bban a g\u00e1z ellen\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9nek az emelked\u00e9s\u00e9t\u201d \u2013 mondta Chris Lawson, a CRU m\u0171tr\u00e1gyapiac\u00e9rt felel\u0151s igazgat\u00f3ja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00f6reg kontinensen \u00e9vi 20 milli\u00f3 tonna amm\u00f3ni\u00e1t gy\u00e1rtanak, \u00e9s legal\u00e1bb havi 200 ezer tonna importra van sz\u00fcks\u00e9g a hi\u00e1ny enyh\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9hez. A k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00f3napokban n\u00e9mi enyh\u00fcl\u00e9st hozhat a piacra, ha beindul a Fekete-tengeri export, ez viszont meglehet\u0151sen nagy geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatokkal j\u00e1r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Egy ipar\u00e1gi szervezet, a Fertilizers Europe szerint a j\u00fanius \u00f3ta ism\u00e9t megl\u00f3dul\u00f3 g\u00e1z\u00e1rak nyom\u00e1n tov\u00e1bbi m\u0171tr\u00e1gyagy\u00e1rt\u00f3 kapacit\u00e1sok eshetnek ki, mivel nem \u00e9ri m\u00e1r meg termelni. Ez automatikusan m\u00e9g jobban feler\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 behozatalhoz vezet, m\u00e1r ha lesz honnan import\u00e1lni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eur\u00f3pa nitrog\u00e9ngy\u00e1rt\u00f3 kapacit\u00e1sai az elm\u00falt id\u0151szakban legal\u00e1bb 25 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal cs\u00f6kkentek, \u00e9s ez az ar\u00e1ny a k\u00e9s\u0151bbiekben m\u00e9g rosszabb lesz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/nemzetkozi-gazdasag\/2022\/08\/mutragyahiany-fenyegeti-europat?utm_source=hirstart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az energiav\u00e1ls\u00e1g termel\u00e9s\u00fck visszafog\u00e1s\u00e1ra k\u00e9nyszer\u00edti Eur\u00f3pa termel\u0151it, az import pedig egyre dr\u00e1gul.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":28314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,23,39],"tags":[258,77220,77219,247],"class_list":["post-28313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-fotok","category-vilag","tag-europa","tag-inport","tag-mutragyahiany","tag-szankciok"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28313"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28313\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28316,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28313\/revisions\/28316"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}