{"id":3490,"date":"2020-04-23T20:25:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-23T17:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=3490"},"modified":"2020-04-23T14:04:12","modified_gmt":"2020-04-23T11:04:12","slug":"sosem-zuhant-meg-akkorat-az-euroovezet-gazdasaga-mint-aprilisban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=3490&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Sosem zuhant m\u00e9g akkor\u00e1t az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezet gazdas\u00e1ga, mint \u00e1prilisban"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"780\" height=\"438\" src=\"http:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/euro-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3491\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/euro-1.jpg 780w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/euro-1-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/euro-1-768x431.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"> <strong>\u00c1prilisban a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l l\u00e9nyegesen nagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben, rekordalacsonyra cs\u00f6kkent az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti gazdas\u00e1gi aktivit\u00e1s mutat\u00f3sz\u00e1ma a londoni IHS Markit gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 int\u00e9zet felm\u00e9r\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n &#8211; \u00edrja az MTI.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Markit el\u0151zetes adatokon alapul\u00f3 felm\u00e9r\u00e9se szerint a gazdas\u00e1gi aktivit\u00e1s mutat\u00f3sz\u00e1ma, a kompozit beszerz\u00e9simenedzser-index (BMI) \u00e1prilisra vonatkoz\u00f3an 13,5 pontra, a felm\u00e9r\u00e9s 1998 j\u00faliusi kezdete \u00f3ta a legalacsonyabbra esett az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben. Az el\u0151z\u0151 h\u00f3napban, m\u00e1rciusban 29,7 ponton \u00e1llt az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti kompozit BMI, \u00e1prilisra pedig 25,7 pontot v\u00e1rtak elemz\u0151k. A BMI 50 pont alatti \u00e9rt\u00e9ke a vizsg\u00e1lt gazdas\u00e1gi tev\u00e9kenys\u00e9g teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00e9nek a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t, 50 pont alatti \u00e9rt\u00e9ke pedig a zsugorod\u00e1s\u00e1t jelzi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A kompozit BMI mindk\u00e9t \u00f6sszetev\u0151je, a szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3ipari \u00e9s a feldolgoz\u00f3ipari egyar\u00e1nt nagyot romlott \u00e1prilisra. A szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3ipari BMI 11,7 pontra, a nyilv\u00e1ntart\u00e1s kezdete \u00f3ta a legalacsonyabbra cs\u00f6kkent a m\u00e1rciusi 26,4 pontr\u00f3l a v\u00e1rt 23,8 pont helyett. A feldolgoz\u00f3ipari BMI 33,6 ponton t\u00f6bb mint 11 \u00e9ves, 134 havi m\u00e9lypontot \u00e9rt el a m\u00e1rciusi 44,5 pont ut\u00e1n, a v\u00e1rt 39,2 pont helyett.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;A BMI-felm\u00e9r\u00e9sben felt\u00e1rt adatok az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti gazdas\u00e1gnak az adatgy\u0171jt\u00e9s t\u00f6bb mint h\u00fasz\u00e9ves t\u00f6rt\u00e9net\u00e9ben soha m\u00e9g nem tapasztalt m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l tan\u00faskodnak. A lend\u00fcletveszt\u00e9s dinamik\u00e1ja is meghaladta a sz\u00e1mos k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sz \u00e1ltal m\u00e9g lehets\u00e9gesnek tartott m\u00e9rt\u00e9ket. Az index \u00e9rt\u00e9ke j\u00f3val a becsl\u00e9si konszenzus al\u00e1 zuhant&#8221; &#8211; \u00edrja a jelent\u00e9sben Chris Williamson, az IHS Markit vezet\u0151 k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sza. A BMI alakul\u00e1sa alapj\u00e1n az IHS Markit modellsz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sai szerint <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> <strong>Az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti GDP 7,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal cs\u00f6kkenhet az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben a kor\u00e1bbi negyed\u00e9vhez k\u00e9pest.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mivel a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny megf\u00e9kez\u00e9se \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben sz\u00e1mos gazdas\u00e1gi ter\u00fcleten az elk\u00f6vetkez\u0151 hetekben is \u00e9rv\u00e9nyben maradnak a korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sok, a m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9vben a r\u00e9gi\u00f3ban valaha elszenvedett legnagyobb recesszi\u00f3ra kell sz\u00e1m\u00edtani. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rem\u00e9lhet\u0151leg hamarosan megindul a korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sok felold\u00e1sa, hogy a gazdas\u00e1g kimozdulhasson az \u00e1prilisi b\u00e9nults\u00e1g \u00e1llapot\u00e1b\u00f3l, ez azonban egy m\u00e1sodik fert\u0151z\u00e9si hull\u00e1m kock\u00e1zata miatt val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg f\u00e1jdalmasan lass\u00fa \u00fctemben fog zajlani. Williamson szerint a kereslet elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 visszaes\u00e9se miatt az \u00e1ll\u00e1sveszt\u00e9s m\u00e9g a mostani rekordm\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171n\u00e9l is nagyobb \u00fctemben folytat\u00f3dhat, ami \u00fajabb agg\u00e1lyokat vet majd fel a j\u00e1rv\u00e1nyv\u00e9delmi int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6lts\u00e9geivel kapcsolatban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forr\u00e1s: index<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c1prilisban a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l l\u00e9nyegesen nagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben, rekordalacsonyra cs\u00f6kkent az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti gazdas\u00e1gi aktivit\u00e1s mutat\u00f3sz\u00e1ma a londoni IHS Markit gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 int\u00e9zet felm\u00e9r\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3491,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1717,49,47,39],"tags":[1173],"class_list":["post-3490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid-19-hu","category-hirek","category-velemenyek","category-vilag","tag-koronavirus-gazdasagi-hatasa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3490\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3491"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}