{"id":36157,"date":"2023-03-16T15:26:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-16T13:26:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=36157"},"modified":"2023-03-16T11:49:08","modified_gmt":"2023-03-16T09:49:08","slug":"recesszio-var-nemetorszagra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=36157&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Recesszi\u00f3 v\u00e1r N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gra"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

 A n\u00e9met gazdas\u00e1g 2023-ban sem tud kit\u00f6rni a recesszi\u00f3b\u00f3l, de a t\u00e9li k\u00e9t negyed\u00e9ves zsugorod\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151en tavasszal megkezd\u0151dik a fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte az Ifo gazdas\u00e1gi int\u00e9zet.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben a brutt\u00f3 hazai term\u00e9k (GDP) v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 0,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal zsugorodik az Ifo szerd\u00e1n k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint \u2013 id\u00e9zi a Reuters. A gazdas\u00e1g 2022 negyedik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben 0,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal zsugorodott az el\u0151z\u0151 h\u00e1rom h\u00f3naphoz k\u00e9pest.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A recesszi\u00f3t \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban \u00fagy hat\u00e1rozz\u00e1k meg, hogy k\u00e9t egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben zsugorodik a gazdas\u00e1g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az int\u00e9zet el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a gazdas\u00e1gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny 2023-ban nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vi szinten marad, 0,1%-kal zsugorodik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ezzel szemben a n\u00e9met korm\u00e1ny 0,2%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1r az idei \u00e9vre, \u00e9s egy m\u00e1sik vezet\u0151 n\u00e9met gazdas\u00e1gi int\u00e9zet, az IfW szerd\u00e1n 0,3%-r\u00f3l 0,5%-ra emelte n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, mondv\u00e1n, hogy a sz\u0171k keresztmetszetek enyh\u00fcl\u00e9se hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rulhat a felfel\u00e9 \u00edvel\u0151 tendenci\u00e1hoz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mindk\u00e9t int\u00e9zet azt j\u00f3solja, hogy a gazdas\u00e1g 2024-ben fellend\u00fcl, az Ifo 1,7%-os, az IfW pedig 1,4%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st prognosztiz\u00e1l, az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 pedig id\u00e9n makacsul magas marad, majd j\u00f6v\u0151re cs\u00f6kken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az Ifo szerint 2023-ban az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 a tavalyi 6,9%-r\u00f3l 6,2%-ra, 2024-ben pedig 2,2%-ra cs\u00f6kken. Hasonl\u00f3k\u00e9ppen, az IfW szerint a fogyaszt\u00f3i \u00e1rak id\u00e9n 5,4%-kal, j\u00f6v\u0151re pedig 2,1%-kal emelkednek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eEl\u00e9rt\u00fck az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 cs\u00facs\u00e1t\u201d \u2013 mondta Timo Wollmershaeuser, az Ifo gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3ja, az energia\u00e1rak cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9re \u00e9s az ell\u00e1t\u00e1si l\u00e1ncok sz\u0171k keresztmetszeteinek enyh\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva. A b\u00e9rek er\u0151teljes emelked\u00e9se azonban \u00faj \u00e1rnyom\u00e1st okoz \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eA magas infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 cs\u00f6kkenti a h\u00e1ztart\u00e1sok rendelkez\u00e9sre \u00e1ll\u00f3 j\u00f6vedelm\u00e9t, \u00e9s a mag\u00e1nfogyaszt\u00e1si kiad\u00e1sok cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezet az idei \u00e9vben\u201d \u2013 mondta az IfW. Az int\u00e9zet szerint \u201e\u00e9rezhet\u0151 v\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00f3er\u0151-vesztes\u00e9g\u201d, 1,8\u201d% van kil\u00e1t\u00e1sban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A n\u00e9met gazdas\u00e1g 2023-ban sem tud kit\u00f6rni a recesszi\u00f3b\u00f3l, de a t\u00e9li k\u00e9t negyed\u00e9ves zsugorod\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151en tavasszal megkezd\u0151dik a fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte az Ifo gazdas\u00e1gi int\u00e9zet. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":36158,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[135,4744],"class_list":["post-36157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-nemetorszag","tag-recesszio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36157"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36157\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36159,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36157\/revisions\/36159"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}