{"id":39981,"date":"2023-07-14T20:52:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-14T17:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=39981"},"modified":"2023-07-14T15:06:24","modified_gmt":"2023-07-14T12:06:24","slug":"megfelezodott-oroszorszag-legfontosabb-beveteli-forrasa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=39981&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Megfelez\u0151d\u00f6tt Oroszorsz\u00e1g legfontosabb bev\u00e9teli forr\u00e1sa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Energia\u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g (IEA) k\u00f6zz\u00e9tette j\u00faniusi olajpiaci jelent\u00e9s\u00e9t. Ebb\u0151l kider\u00fcl, hogy \u00f6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben a vil\u00e1g olajpiaca kiegyens\u00falyozott volt, ugyanakkor az egyes szerepl\u0151k helyzete v\u00e1ltozhatott.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A vil\u00e1g olajfogyaszt\u00e1sa imm\u00e1r naponta 100 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 f\u00f6l\u00f6tti, \u00e9s m\u00e9g n\u00f6vekszik, noha egyre lassul\u00f3 \u00fctemben. Az \u00faj kereslet 70 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t K\u00edna adja, mik\u00f6zben a t\u00f6bbletk\u00edn\u00e1latot a nem OPEC-tagok, \u00e9s a szervezettel nem is egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151 kitermel\u0151k adj\u00e1k.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"547\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/olaj.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-39982\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/olaj.webp 800w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/olaj-300x205.webp 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/olaj-768x525.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">V\u00e1ltoz\u00f3 ar\u00e1nyok<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Id\u00e9n az olajk\u00edn\u00e1lat \u00e1tlagosan napi 1,6 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val b\u0151v\u00fclt, m\u00e9gpedig \u00fagy, hogy az OPEC-t\u0151l f\u00fcggetlen kitermel\u0151k 1,9 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val n\u00f6velik a kitermel\u00e9st, az olajexport\u0151r\u00f6k szervezete \u00e9s a vel\u00fck egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151 orsz\u00e1gok kitermel\u00e9s cs\u00f6kken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J\u00faniusban f\u00e9lmilli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val n\u0151tt a napi k\u00edn\u00e1lat, j\u00f6v\u0151re v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an napi 1,2 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 lesz a b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s, amit teljes eg\u00e9sz\u00e9ben az OPEC-t\u0151l f\u00fcggetlen kitermel\u0151k adnak, nem kis r\u00e9szben az USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orosz bev\u00e9telek<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az orosz olajexport m\u00e1jusr\u00f3l j\u00faniusra 600 ezer hord\u00f3val 7,3 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3ra cs\u00f6kkent, a becs\u00fclt exportbev\u00e9tel 1,5 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rral 11,8 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra. Ez az \u00f6sszeg imm\u00e1r csak a fele az egy \u00e9vvel ezel\u0151ttinek, ami h\u00e1rom t\u00e9nyez\u0151nek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>az orosz exportvolumen visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9nek, ami a szankci\u00f3k hat\u00e1sa;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>a h\u00e1bor\u00fa kezdete ut\u00e1n felszalad\u00f3 olaj\u00e1r visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9nek;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00e9s az orosz olaj 25-30 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos diszkontj\u00e1nak a Brent t\u00edpushoz k\u00e9pest, ami megint csak szankci\u00f3s hat\u00e1s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Augusztusban Oroszorsz\u00e1g v\u00e1llal\u00e1sa szerint \u00fajabb napi 500 ezer hord\u00f3val cs\u00f6kkenti az exportot az OPEC+ megegyez\u00e9s szerint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">K\u00e9szletek, olaj\u00e1r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A vil\u00e1g kitermelt, de m\u00e9g fel nem haszn\u00e1lt olajk\u00e9szlete 19,4 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val n\u0151tt m\u00e1jusban, a legnagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben K\u00edna n\u00f6velte k\u00e9szleteit. A tengeren, haj\u00f3kban t\u00e1rolt mennyis\u00e9g ugyanakkor 23 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val cs\u00f6kkent, ami m\u00e1r az OPEC+ kitermel\u00e9s visszafog\u00e1s\u00e1nak hat\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az el\u0151zetes j\u00faniusi adatok szerint tov\u00e1bbi 9,2 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3s cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s k\u00f6vetkezett be. A Brent t\u00edpus \u00e1ra \u00e1tlagosan 75 doll\u00e1r volt j\u00faniusban, m\u00edg egy \u00e9vvel kor\u00e1bban 120 doll\u00e1r volt az \u00e1r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kapacit\u00e1sok<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben m\u00e9g \u00e9rdemi, jelenleg ig\u00e9nybe nem vett olyan kitermel\u00e9si kapacit\u00e1s van a piacon, amihez nem lenne sz\u00fcks\u00e9g \u00fajabb beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sra, b\u0151v\u00edt\u00e9sre. Messze a legnagyobb lehet\u0151s\u00e9ggel Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia rendelkezik, amely napi 12,25 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3t tudna felsz\u00ednre hozni, m\u00edg most valamivel kevesebb, mint 10 milli\u00f3 a kitermel\u00e9s, \u00e9s augusztusban ez is cs\u00f6kkenni fog egymilli\u00f3val, hogy m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151dj\u00f6n a k\u00edn\u00e1lat, \u00e9s ne essen tov\u00e1bb az \u00e1r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emellett az Egyes\u00fclt Arab Emir\u00e1tusok tudna napi egymilli\u00f3 hord\u00f3t felsz\u00ednre hozni a mostani 3,2 milli\u00f3n fel\u00fcl, Ir\u00e1n 800 ezer hord\u00f3val tudna n\u00f6velni, Irak \u00e9s Oroszorsz\u00e1g egyar\u00e1nt nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l 600 ezer, Kuvait pedig 300 ezer hord\u00f3val.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00cdgy m\u00e9g Oroszorsz\u00e1g n\u00e9lk\u00fcl is napi 5 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s kapacit\u00e1s van, \u00edgy hi\u00e1nyhelyzetet csak er\u0151s kitermel\u00e9s cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9ssel lehetne el\u0151id\u00e9zni. Mindek\u00f6zben az USA t\u00f6bb mint napi 12 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3val a legnagyobb kitermel\u0151, \u00e9s folyamatosan n\u00f6veli a kitermel\u00e9st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.napi.hu\/nemzetkozi-gazdasag\/olajar-energiaar-olajkitermeles-oroszorszag.774099.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(napi.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Energia\u00fcgyn\u00f6ks\u00e9g (IEA) k\u00f6zz\u00e9tette j\u00faniusi olajpiaci jelent\u00e9s\u00e9t. Ebb\u0151l kider\u00fcl, hogy \u00f6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben a vil\u00e1g olajpiaca kiegyens\u00falyozott volt, ugyanakkor az egyes szerepl\u0151k helyzete v\u00e1ltozhatott.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":39982,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[32575,1767,1766,173160,183],"class_list":["post-39981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-nemzetkozi-energiaugynokseg-iea","tag-olajkitermeles","tag-opec-2","tag-orlajar","tag-oroszorszag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39981","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39981"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39981\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39983,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39981\/revisions\/39983"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/39982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}