{"id":42731,"date":"2023-10-18T20:10:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T17:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=42731"},"modified":"2023-10-18T15:43:10","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T12:43:10","slug":"visszaesett-a-gabonatermeles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=42731&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Visszaesett a gabonatermel\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az ukr\u00e1n b\u00fazatermel\u00e9s csak a 23 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s szintet \u00e9rte el 2023-ban, ami 24 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos visszaes\u00e9st jelent a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti \u00e9vekhez k\u00e9pest \u2013 \u00edrja az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agroinform.hu\/szantofold\/visszaesett-az-ukran-gabonatermeles-az-export-csokkenese-varhato-68020-001?utm_source=hirkereso&amp;utm_medium=cpc&amp;utm_campaign=HIRpromo&amp;utm_content=68020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Agroinform<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az Agr\u00e1rminiszt\u00e9rium \u00e1ttekintette a Nemzetk\u00f6zi Gabonatan\u00e1cst\u00f3l \u00e9s az Eur\u00f3pai Bizotts\u00e1gt\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 adatokat, amelyek alapj\u00e1n 2023-ban cs\u00f6kken\u0151 ukr\u00e1n term\u00e9seredm\u00e9nyekkel \u00e9s a 2023\/24-es gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9vre cs\u00f6kken\u0151 exportteljes\u00edtm\u00e9nnyel sz\u00e1molhatunk.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"750\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/gabona.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-42732\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/gabona.jpg 750w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/gabona-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A 2023-as \u00e9v term\u00e9seredm\u00e9nyei Ukrajn\u00e1ban elmaradnak a kor\u00e1bbi \u00e9vek szintj\u00e9t\u0151l, els\u0151sorban az orosz-ukr\u00e1n h\u00e1bor\u00fa hat\u00e1sai miatt. Ez\u00e1ltal Ukrajna export\u00e1lhat\u00f3 \u00e1rualapja is cs\u00f6kkent a kor\u00e1bbi \u00e9vekhez k\u00e9pest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A 2023-as ukr\u00e1n b\u00fazaterm\u00e9s 23 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s szintet \u00e9rt el, ami a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti \u00e9vekben megszokott mennyis\u00e9gekhez k\u00e9pest kb. 24%-os visszaes\u00e9st jelent. Ugyanez az adat kukorica eset\u00e9ben 30%-os nagys\u00e1grend\u0171 visszaes\u00e9st mutat, a 2023-as ukr\u00e1n kukoricaterm\u00e9s 24 milli\u00f3 tonna k\u00f6r\u00fcl alakulhat. A term\u00e9smennyis\u00e9g visszaes\u00e9se az olajos n\u00f6v\u00e9nyekn\u00e9l kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 er\u0151teljes \u00e9s az egyes n\u00f6v\u00e9nyfajokat elt\u00e9r\u0151en \u00e9rinti, de ezekn\u00e9l a kult\u00far\u00e1kn\u00e1l is \u00e9rezhet\u0151 a h\u00e1bor\u00fa hat\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A legfrissebb becsl\u00e9sek az Ukrajna \u00e1ltal export\u00e1lhat\u00f3 \u00f6sszes gabona, olajos- \u00e9s feh\u00e9rjen\u00f6v\u00e9nnyel kapcsolatban 46-47 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s exportot jeleznek el\u0151re a 2023\/24-es gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9vre. Ez a mennyis\u00e9g tov\u00e1bbra is jelent\u0151s, de \u00e9rezhet\u0151en \u2013 kb. 28%-kal \u2013 elmarad a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti \u00e9vekben megszokott 65 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s szintekhez k\u00e9pest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A t\u00e9nyleges exportpotenci\u00e1lt befoly\u00e1solja a dunai ukr\u00e1n \u00e9s a kapcsol\u00f3d\u00f3 rom\u00e1n tengeri kik\u00f6t\u0151i kapacit\u00e1sok m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9si hat\u00e9konys\u00e1ga, valamit a sz\u00e1razf\u00f6ldi tranzitfolyos\u00f3 kapacit\u00e1s\u00e1nak b\u0151v\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9re ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 eur\u00f3pai er\u0151fesz\u00edt\u00e9sek eredm\u00e9nyess\u00e9ge \u00e9s gyorsas\u00e1ga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Figyelembe kell venni azt is, hogy a 2022 szeptembere \u00e9s 2023 m\u00e1jusa k\u00f6z\u00f6tt cs\u00facson l\u00e9v\u0151 Ukrajn\u00e1b\u00f3l \u00e9rkez\u0151 uni\u00f3s gabona- \u00e9s olajos n\u00f6v\u00e9ny import \u2013 melynek havi mennyis\u00e9ge el\u00e9rte a 2,5-4 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1t is \u2013 2023 m\u00e1jusa ut\u00e1n havi 1,6-1,7 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1ra s\u00fcllyedt. A hatalmas volumenek m\u00f6g\u00f6tt jelent\u0151s szerepet j\u00e1tszottak a h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9se miatt a kor\u00e1bbi id\u0151szakban felhalmoz\u00f3dott 2021-es ukr\u00e1n term\u00e9sb\u0151l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 beszorult k\u00e9szletek is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A j\u00f6v\u0151beli ukr\u00e1n export alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t befoly\u00e1sol\u00f3 tov\u00e1bbi t\u00e9nyez\u0151 az ukr\u00e1n hrivnya \u00e1rfolyama is, amely a h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9s\u00e9t k\u00f6vet\u0151 sokkok ut\u00e1n 2023-ban meglehet\u0151sen stabilan alakult, s\u0151t n\u00e9mileg er\u0151s\u00f6dni tudott a f\u0151bb valut\u00e1kkal szemben. A stabil, illetve er\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 hrivnya az ukr\u00e1n exportot a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 id\u0151szakban f\u00e9kezheti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(agroinform.hu)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az ukr\u00e1n b\u00fazatermel\u00e9s csak a 23 milli\u00f3 tonn\u00e1s szintet \u00e9rte el 2023-ban, ami 24 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos visszaes\u00e9st jelent a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti \u00e9vekhez k\u00e9pest \u2013 \u00edrja az Agroinform.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":42732,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,33],"tags":[5636,190504],"class_list":["post-42731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-ukrajna","tag-gabona","tag-visszaeszes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42731","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42731"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42731\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42733,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42731\/revisions\/42733"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/42732"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42731"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42731"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42731"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}