{"id":43337,"date":"2023-11-11T17:12:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-11T15:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=43337"},"modified":"2023-11-11T16:48:10","modified_gmt":"2023-11-11T14:48:10","slug":"ukrajna-gazdasaga-a-vartnal-gyorsabban-all-talpra-imf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=43337&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1ga a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l gyorsabban \u00e1ll talpra \u2013 IMF"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) 4,5%-ra jav\u00edtotta az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g 2023-as n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, j\u00f6v\u0151re azonban lassul\u00e1st j\u00f3sol a n\u00f6veked\u00e9sben a folyamatban l\u00e9v\u0151 h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be szombaton az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/rus\/news\/ekonomika-ukrayini-vidnovlyuetsya-shvidshe-1699692520.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az IMF jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF k\u00f6zlem\u00e9nye szerint az alap misszi\u00f3ja \u00e9s Ukrajna hat\u00f3s\u00e1gai szem\u00e9lyi szint\u0171 meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1sra jutottak az EFF fokozott finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si programj\u00e1nak m\u00e1sodik fel\u00fclvizsg\u00e1lat\u00e1r\u00f3l. A meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1st az IMF igazgat\u00f3tan\u00e1cs\u00e1nak j\u00f3v\u00e1 kell hagynia, ami v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 hetekben ker\u00fcl napirendre. A hitelr\u00e9szlet nagys\u00e1ga k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 900 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1r lesz.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"650\" height=\"410\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/imf.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-43338\" style=\"width:894px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/imf.jpg 650w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/imf-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF megjegyezte, hogy a 15,6 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1ros EFF-programot m\u00e1rcius 31-\u00e9n hagyt\u00e1k j\u00f3v\u00e1. \u201eAz IMF \u00e1ltal t\u00e1mogatott meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s egy sokkal nagyobb nemzetk\u00f6zi t\u00e1mogat\u00e1si csomag r\u00e9sze Ukrajn\u00e1nak, amely jelenleg 122 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r k\u00f6r\u00fcli \u00f6sszeget tesz ki. Az EFF tov\u00e1bbra is er\u0151s t\u00e1mogat\u00e1sk\u00e9nt szolg\u00e1l a korm\u00e1ny gazdas\u00e1gi programj\u00e1hoz, \u00e9s a program \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye annak ellen\u00e9re j\u00f3 \u00faton halad, hogy rendk\u00edv\u00fcl kih\u00edv\u00e1st jelent a helyzet\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ugyanakkor a j\u00fanius v\u00e9gi mennyis\u00e9gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nykrit\u00e9rium \u00e9s a szeptember v\u00e9gi becs\u00fclt c\u00e9lmutat\u00f3 teljes\u00fclt. \u201eA legt\u00f6bb struktur\u00e1lis mutat\u00f3 is megval\u00f3sult, m\u00edg n\u00e9h\u00e1ny m\u00e1sik n\u00e9mi k\u00e9s\u00e9ssel vagy a v\u00e9grehajt\u00e1si szakaszban van, ami t\u00fckr\u00f6zi a hat\u00f3s\u00e1gok folyamatos elk\u00f6telezetts\u00e9g\u00e9t az \u00e1tfog\u00f3 reformprogram mellett\u201d \u2013 mutatott r\u00e1 az IMF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Amint a jelent\u00e9sben szerepel, az ukrajnai h\u00e1bor\u00fa tov\u00e1bbra is puszt\u00edt\u00f3 hat\u00e1ssal van a lakoss\u00e1gra \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gra, mivel orsz\u00e1gszerte folytat\u00f3dnak a kritikus infrastrukt\u00fara elleni t\u00e1mad\u00e1sok \u00e9s a l\u00e9gicsap\u00e1sok. R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a fekete-tengeri gabonakezdem\u00e9nyez\u00e9s orosz felmond\u00e1sa \u00e9s a kik\u00f6t\u0151k lerombol\u00e1sa megnehez\u00edtette az ukr\u00e1n exportot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eEnnek ellen\u00e9re a makrogazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi stabilit\u00e1s megmaradt a szil\u00e1rd politik\u00e1nak, valamint a stabil \u00e9s id\u0151szer\u0171 k\u00fcls\u0151 t\u00e1mogat\u00e1snak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en. Az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g tov\u00e1bbra is figyelemre m\u00e9lt\u00f3 ellen\u00e1ll\u00f3 k\u00e9pess\u00e9get \u00e9s a stabiliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 tov\u00e1bbi jeleit mutatja, mivel a k\u00f6zelm\u00falt gazdas\u00e1gi fejlem\u00e9nyei azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy a 2023-ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 gazdas\u00e1gi fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s \u00e9s jelent\u0151s infl\u00e1ci\u00f3cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s az er\u0151s tartal\u00e9kok \u00e9s a stabil devizapiac h\u00e1tter\u00e9ben\u201d \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte az alap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF munkat\u00e1rsai ez\u00e9rt 2023-ra 4,5%-ra jav\u00edtott\u00e1k a re\u00e1l-GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t (a kor\u00e1bbi 1\u20133%-os tartom\u00e1nyr\u00f3l, amikor az EFF els\u0151 fel\u00fclvizsg\u00e1lata befejez\u0151d\u00f6tt). A n\u00f6veked\u00e9s azonban 2024-ben v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 3\u20134%-ra lassul a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1s\u00e1val, \u00e9s a lefel\u00e9 mutat\u00f3 kock\u00e1zatok tov\u00e1bbra is rendk\u00edv\u00fcl magasak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF szerint tov\u00e1bbra is rendk\u00edv\u00fcl neh\u00e9z az \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1s helyzete: a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny tov\u00e1bbra is nagyon magas, t\u00fckr\u00f6zve a h\u00e1bor\u00fa gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s t\u00e1rsadalmi k\u00f6lts\u00e9geit, amelyek nagy finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si sz\u00fcks\u00e9gletekkel j\u00e1rnak. \u201eA kiad\u00e1si ig\u00e9nyek kiel\u00e9g\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9nek el\u0151seg\u00edt\u00e9se \u00e9s az ad\u00f3ss\u00e1g fenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1g\u00e1nak meg\u0151rz\u00e9se \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben a legfontosabb priorit\u00e1sok k\u00f6z\u00e9 tartozik az ad\u00f3ellen\u0151rz\u00e9sek teljes helyre\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t c\u00e9lz\u00f3 jogszab\u00e1lyok elfogad\u00e1sa, valamint a nemzeti bev\u00e9teli strat\u00e9gia tervezett decemberi elind\u00edt\u00e1sa. A tisztvisel\u0151knek fel kell k\u00e9sz\u00fclni\u00fck tov\u00e1bbi bev\u00e9teln\u00f6vel\u0151 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek megt\u00e9tel\u00e9re \u00e9s a finansz\u00edroz\u00e1s mozg\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 er\u0151fesz\u00edt\u00e9sek folytat\u00e1s\u00e1ra a hazai k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiacon\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a k\u00f6zlem\u00e9nyben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ugyanakkor az elk\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00edtett k\u00fcls\u0151 t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s id\u0151ben t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 biztos\u00edt\u00e1sa kulcsfontoss\u00e1g\u00fa lesz a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9s finansz\u00edroz\u00e1sa \u00e9s a makrogazdas\u00e1gi stabilit\u00e1s szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l. \u201eA hat\u00f3s\u00e1gi szerveknek a program param\u00e9tereinek megfelel\u0151 ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gfenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1g helyre\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1si c\u00e9lj\u00e1nak megfelel\u0151en az el\u0151\u00edrt hat\u00e1rid\u0151n bel\u00fcl meg kell kezdeni\u00fck a tervezett m\u0171veleteket a kereskedelmi ad\u00f3ss\u00e1ggal. A fenntarthat\u00f3s\u00e1g fenntart\u00e1s\u00e1hoz sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges legkedvez\u0151bb felt\u00e9telekkel \u00faj hitelek felkutat\u00e1sa \u00e9s lebonyol\u00edt\u00e1sa, a j\u00f6vedelmeken alapul\u00f3 k\u00f6z\u00e9pt\u00e1v\u00fa k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si kiigaz\u00edt\u00e1s\u201d \u2013 mutatott r\u00e1 az IMF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; creatorid:bey5821&nbsp;&#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) 4,5%-ra jav\u00edtotta az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g 2023-as n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, j\u00f6v\u0151re azonban lassul\u00e1st j\u00f3sol a n\u00f6veked\u00e9sben a folyamatban l\u00e9v\u0151 h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":43338,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,11,17,33],"tags":[3922,623,1881],"class_list":["post-43337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-gazdasagi-novekedes","tag-imf","tag-ukran-gazdasag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43337","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43337"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43337\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43339,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43337\/revisions\/43339"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/43338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43337"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43337"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43337"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}