{"id":43833,"date":"2023-12-02T15:43:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T13:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=43833"},"modified":"2023-12-02T00:46:44","modified_gmt":"2023-12-01T22:46:44","slug":"jo-ideje-szenved-a-brit-gazdasag-es-a-kilatasok-sem-jok","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=43833&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"J\u00f3 ideje szenved a brit gazdas\u00e1g, \u00e9s a kil\u00e1t\u00e1sok sem j\u00f3k"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Lassul\u00f3 \u00fctemben ugyan, de az el\u0151z\u0151 tizen\u00f6t h\u00f3naphoz hasonl\u00f3an novemberben is cs\u00f6kkent a brit feldolgoz\u00f3szektor aktivit\u00e1sa a p\u00e9nteken ismertetett \u00e1tfog\u00f3 havi m\u00e9r\u0151sz\u00e1mok alapj\u00e1n.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az S&P Global p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi-gazdas\u00e1gi adatszolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3 csoport \u00e9s a brit v\u00e1llalati szektor beszerz\u00e9si aktivit\u00e1s\u00e1t m\u00e9r\u0151 int\u00e9zet (Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply, CIPS) k\u00f6z\u00f6s felm\u00e9r\u00e9se szerint a brit feldolgoz\u00f3ipar szezon\u00e1lisan kiigaz\u00edtott beszerz\u00e9simenedzser-indexe (BMI) az okt\u00f3beri 44,8 ut\u00e1n a m\u00falt h\u00f3napban 47,2 volt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az 50 alatti BMI-indexek a vizsg\u00e1lt szektorok aktivit\u00e1s\u00e1nak lanyhul\u00e1s\u00e1t jelzik, vagyis a 47,2-es novemberi gy\u00e1ripari adat a javul\u00e1s ellen\u00e9re tov\u00e1bbra is a brit feldolgoz\u00f3 \u00e1gazat teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00e9nek visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9t mutatja.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Rob Dobson, az S&P Global Market Intelligence igazgat\u00f3ja a novemberi feldolgoz\u00f3ipari BMI-indexet komment\u00e1lva kiemelte: b\u00e1r javult az aktivit\u00e1si mutat\u00f3, az adatsor m\u00e9ly\u00e9re tekintve azonban \u201ekev\u00e9s az ok a kar\u00e1csonyi j\u00f3kedvre\u201d, a brit gy\u00e1ripari v\u00e1llalatokhoz \u00e9rkez\u0151 \u00faj megrendel\u00e9sek \u00e9rt\u00e9ke \u00e9s az export ugyanis v\u00e1ltozatlanul meredek \u00edvben cs\u00f6kken, \u00e9s a kereskedelmi partnerek folytatj\u00e1k a rakt\u00e1rk\u00e9szlet-le\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dobson szerint ebben a k\u00f6rnyezetben \u201et\u00fcn\u00e9kenynek l\u00e1tszik\u201d a tart\u00f3s \u00e9rdemi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s kil\u00e1t\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

John Glen, a CIPS f\u0151k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sza az \u00faj gy\u00e1ripari BMI-felm\u00e9r\u00e9shez f\u0171z\u00f6tt \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s\u00e9ben kiemelte, hogy a szektor v\u00e1llalatainak k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi megrendel\u00e9sei k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen komor k\u00e9pet mutatnak, mivel 22 h\u00f3napja folyamatosan cs\u00f6kkennek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A brit \u00fczleti szektor bizalmi indexe ugyanakkor valamelyest javult: a novemberi S&P Global\/CIPS-felm\u00e9r\u00e9sbe bevont v\u00e1llalatok 53 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka nyilatkozott \u00fagy, hogy a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 tizenk\u00e9t h\u00f3napban termel\u00e9s\u00e9nek b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edt, \u00e9s csak 10 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k v\u00e1r visszaes\u00e9st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az ut\u00f3bbi id\u0151ben viszont igen bor\u00fal\u00e1t\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek k\u00e9sz\u00fcltek a brit gazdas\u00e1g kil\u00e1t\u00e1sair\u00f3l. Az Office for Budget Responsibility, OBR) nev\u0171 f\u00fcggetlen, de a brit korm\u00e1ny sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra is el\u0151rejelz\u00e9seket k\u00e9sz\u00edt\u0151 kutat\u00f3m\u0171hely friss progn\u00f3zis\u00e1ban 2024-re 0,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos, 2025-re 1,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9st val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edtett a brit gazdas\u00e1gban. Ez meredeken rontott el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s, az int\u00e9zet el\u0151z\u0151 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9ben ugyanis erre a k\u00e9t \u00e9vre 1,8, illetve 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9si v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s szerepelt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A c\u00e9g szerint a progn\u00f3zisok jelent\u0151s ront\u00e1s\u00e1t az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 \u00e1ltal a re\u00e1lb\u00e9rekre gyakorolt nyom\u00e1s, a kamatok emelked\u00e9se \u00e9s a korm\u00e1nyzati t\u00e1mogat\u00e1sok le\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9se indokolja. Az OBR sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sai szerint a nagy-britanniai \u00e9letsz\u00ednvonal \u2013 a h\u00e1ztart\u00e1sok egy f\u0151re jut\u00f3, szabadon rendelkez\u00e9sre \u00e1ll\u00f3 re\u00e1lj\u00f6vedelmi h\u00e1nyad\u00e1nak (RHDI) m\u00e9rc\u00e9j\u00e9n sz\u00e1molva \u2013 m\u00e9g a 2024-2025-\u00f6s k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si \u00e9vben is 3,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal alacsonyabb lesz a koronav\u00edrus-j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny el\u0151tti szintn\u00e9l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lassul\u00f3 \u00fctemben ugyan, de az el\u0151z\u0151 tizen\u00f6t h\u00f3naphoz hasonl\u00f3an novemberben is cs\u00f6kkent a brit feldolgoz\u00f3szektor aktivit\u00e1sa a p\u00e9nteken ismertetett \u00e1tfog\u00f3 havi m\u00e9r\u0151sz\u00e1mok alapj\u00e1n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":43834,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[2273],"class_list":["post-43833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-nagy-britannia-2"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43833"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43833\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43835,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43833\/revisions\/43835"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/43834"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}