{"id":44861,"date":"2024-01-10T20:47:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-10T18:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=44861"},"modified":"2024-01-10T18:22:01","modified_gmt":"2024-01-10T16:22:01","slug":"a-vilagbank-a-haboru-miatt-rontotta-ukrajna-gazdasaganak-2024-es-novekedesi-elorejelzeset","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=44861&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A Vil\u00e1gbank a h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt rontotta Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1nak 2024-es n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Vil\u00e1gbank 2024-re 3,2%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st j\u00f3sol Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1nak, m\u00edg tavaly okt\u00f3berben a bank m\u00e9g 4,0%-os GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1rt \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be szerd\u00e1n az rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l a Vil\u00e1gbank vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jelent\u00e9s szerint \u201eUkrajna kil\u00e1t\u00e1sai tov\u00e1bbra is nagyon bizonytalanok. Az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s 2024-ben 3,2%, 2025-ben pedig 6,5% lesz.\u201d A Vil\u00e1gbank arra sz\u00e1m\u00edt, hogy 2024-ben folytat\u00f3dnak az akt\u00edv harcok. Ezzel p\u00e1rhuzamosan az alapvet\u0151 hat\u00e1sok \u00e9s az egyszeri t\u00e9nyez\u0151k, k\u00f6zt\u00fck a mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6v\u00e9nyek term\u00e9shozama is kiegyenl\u00edt\u0151dik.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u201eA bizonytalans\u00e1g r\u00e9szleges felold\u00e1sa 2025-ben hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rul az export \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9hez \u00e9s az \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9si beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok fokozatos n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9hez\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben. A Vil\u00e1gbank szerint Ukrajna GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9si \u00fcteme hozz\u00e1vet\u0151leg 4,8%-kal n\u0151tt 2023-ban az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vi meredek cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s ut\u00e1n. 2023-ban azonban a termel\u00e9s k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 30%-kal az inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 el\u0151tti szint alatt maradt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eA n\u00f6veked\u00e9st az elektromos \u00e1ramhoz val\u00f3 jobb hozz\u00e1f\u00e9r\u00e9s, a magasabb betakar\u00edt\u00e1s \u00e9s a t\u00f6bbletkiad\u00e1sok t\u00e1mogatt\u00e1k, j\u00f3llehet a n\u00f6vekv\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si \u00e9s foly\u00f3 fizet\u00e9si m\u00e9rleg hi\u00e1ny\u00e1nak rov\u00e1s\u00e1ra\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben. Noha a fekete-tengeri gabonakezdem\u00e9nyez\u00e9s 2023 j\u00falius\u00e1ban t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt megsz\u00fcntet\u00e9se tov\u00e1bbra is lefel\u00e9 ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 nyom\u00e1st gyakorol a gabonaexportra, \u201eUkrajna sikeresen nyitott meg alternat\u00edv gabonaexport-utakat, amelyek t\u00e1mogatt\u00e1k ezt az \u00e1gazatot\u201d \u2013 jegyezte meg a bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az ukr\u00e1n korm\u00e1ny el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint Ukrajna GDP-je 5,0%-kal n\u00f6vekszik 2023-ban. 2024-ben 4,6%-os lassul\u00e1s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3. Az IMF novemberben 4,5%-ra emelte Ukrajna 2023-as re\u00e1l-GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t (a kor\u00e1bbi 1-3%-os s\u00e1v ut\u00e1n). A n\u00f6veked\u00e9s azonban 2024-ben v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 3-4%-ra lassul a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1s\u00e1val kapcsolatban, \u00e9s a lefel\u00e9 mutat\u00f3 kock\u00e1zatok tov\u00e1bbra is rendk\u00edv\u00fcl magasak maradnak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<!– creatorid:bey5821 –><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Vil\u00e1gbank 2024-re 3,2%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st j\u00f3sol Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1nak, m\u00edg tavaly okt\u00f3berben a bank m\u00e9g 4,0%-os GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1rt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":44862,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,33854,17,33],"tags":[1756,3792,209562,1713],"class_list":["post-44861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-elorejelzes","tag-prognozis","tag-ukrajna-gazdasagi-novekedese","tag-vilagbank"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44861"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44861\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44863,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44861\/revisions\/44863"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/44862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}