{"id":45612,"date":"2024-02-02T19:13:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-02T17:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45612"},"modified":"2024-02-02T17:36:06","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T15:36:06","slug":"az-ukran-gazdasag-novekedeset-josolja-az-elkovetkezo-harom-evre-az-nbu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45612&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t j\u00f3solja az elk\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00e1rom \u00e9vre az NBU"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) szerint 2023-ban Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1ga visszat\u00e9rt a n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra, \u00e9s a fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben is folytat\u00f3dni fog \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte p\u00e9nteken az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/rus\/news\/k-zrostatime-ekonomika-ukrayini-nayblizhchi-1706872016.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az NBU infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A jelent\u00e9s szerint az NBU 2023-ra 5,7%-ra becs\u00fclte Ukrajna re\u00e1l GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t. Az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a re\u00e1l GDP 3,6%-kal n\u0151 2024-ben, els\u0151sorban a magas k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si kiad\u00e1sok fenntart\u00e1s\u00e1nak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en a nemzetk\u00f6zi seg\u00e9lyek v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 volumen\u00e9nek megfelel\u0151 szinten. \u201eA gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s \u00fcteme azonban elmarad a tavalyit\u00f3l, a v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 termel\u00e9scs\u00f6kken\u00e9s \u00e9s a h\u00e1bor\u00fas k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt er\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 munkaer\u0151-piaci egyenl\u0151tlens\u00e9gek miatt\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"650\" height=\"410\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/epitkezes-f.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45613\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/epitkezes-f.jpg 650w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/epitkezes-f-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az NBU progn\u00f3zisa szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s felgyorsul a biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9nek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en, ami az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s f\u0151 felt\u00e9telez\u00e9se, a fogyaszt\u00f3i \u00e9s befektet\u00e9si hangulat javul\u00e1sa, valamint az eur\u00f3pai integr\u00e1ci\u00f3s reformok v\u00e9grehajt\u00e1sa miatt. 2025-ben 5,8%-os, 2026-ban 4,5%-os lesz a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s. \u201eA GDP 2025 v\u00e9g\u00e9n megk\u00f6zel\u00edti a potenci\u00e1lis szintj\u00e9t, de m\u00e9g nem t\u00e9r vissza az inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 el\u0151tti teljes szintre az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9si horizonton\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a k\u00f6zlem\u00e9nyben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az NBU \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9se szerint a potenci\u00e1lis GDP felgyorsult n\u00f6veked\u00e9se csak akkor lehets\u00e9ges, ha nagyszab\u00e1s\u00fa \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9si terv val\u00f3sul meg nemzetk\u00f6zi szervezetek r\u00e9szv\u00e9tel\u00e9vel, mag\u00e1nbefektet\u0151k ehhez kapcsol\u00f3d\u00f3 tev\u00e9kenys\u00e9g\u00e9vel \u00e9s\/vagy Oroszorsz\u00e1g elkobzott vagyon\u00e1nak felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1val, amelyet az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s alapszcen\u00e1ri\u00f3ja jelenleg nem vesz figyelembe. Az NBU janu\u00e1ri makr\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9nek alapforgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyve a biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok jelent\u0151s cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t felt\u00e9telezi Ukrajn\u00e1ban 2025-t\u0151l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A gazdas\u00e1gi miniszt\u00e9rium el\u0151zetes operat\u00edv becsl\u00e9sei szerint Ukrajna re\u00e1l GDP-je 2023-ban 5% n\u0151tt, miut\u00e1n 2022-ben 28,8% visszaesett. Ukrajna korm\u00e1ny\u00e1nak a 2024. \u00e9vi re\u00e1l GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t az \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1s m\u00e1sodik olvasat\u00e1ban 4,6%-ra cs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k az els\u0151 olvasatban jelzett 5,0%-hoz k\u00e9pest, figyelembe v\u00e9ve a 2024-es re\u00e1l GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9st is a h\u00e1bor\u00fa (2024 folyam\u00e1n), a logisztika (a tengeri kik\u00f6t\u0151k teljes k\u00f6r\u0171 haszn\u00e1lat\u00e1nak korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sa), a migr\u00e1ci\u00f3s folyamatok miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; creatorid:bey5821&nbsp;&#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) szerint 2023-ban Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1ga visszat\u00e9rt a n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra, \u00e9s a fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben is folytat\u00f3dni fog.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":45613,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,33854,17,33],"tags":[218019,33269,585],"class_list":["post-45612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-gazdasagi-fellendelules","tag-ukrajna-gdp-je","tag-ukran-nemzeti-bank-nbu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45612","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45612"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45612\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45614,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45612\/revisions\/45614"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/45613"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45612"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45612"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45612"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}