{"id":45616,"date":"2024-02-02T21:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-02T19:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45616"},"modified":"2024-02-02T17:55:19","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T15:55:19","slug":"kesik-a-menekultek-visszaterese-ukrajnaba-a-megindulasa-2025-tol-varhato-nbu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45616&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"K\u00e9sik a menek\u00fcltek visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba, a megindul\u00e1sa 2025-t\u0151l v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u2013 NBU"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a menek\u00fcltek fokozatos visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba a biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9vel 2025-t\u0151l v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1sa azonban n\u00f6veli annak kock\u00e1zat\u00e1t, hogy az ukr\u00e1n \u00e1llampolg\u00e1rok nagy r\u00e9sze nem t\u00e9r vissza \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be p\u00e9nteken az rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az NBU infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A k\u00f6zlem\u00e9ny id\u00e9zte az ENSZ adatait, amelyek szerint a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldre menek\u00fclt ukr\u00e1nok sz\u00e1ma 2023 v\u00e9g\u00e9n 6,3 milli\u00f3 f\u0151 volt. Az NBU szerint ez a sz\u00e1m \u00e9vente k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 200 000 f\u0151vel n\u0151tt. A jegybanki el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s szerint 2024-ben a magas biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok miatt a menek\u00fcltek ki\u00e1raml\u00e1sa v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an folytat\u00f3dni fog Ukrajn\u00e1ban, b\u00e1r csek\u00e9ly m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben (\u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re kb. 100 ezer f\u0151 lesz).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9se ut\u00e1n 2025-ben hozz\u00e1vet\u0151leg 400 ezer ember t\u00e9r vissza Ukrajn\u00e1ba. \u201eA lak\u00e1sok, az infrastrukt\u00fara helyre\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9s az ukr\u00e1n gazdas\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9se k\u00f6vetkezt\u00e9ben a munkahelyek sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se 2026-ban akt\u00edvabb visszat\u00e9r\u00e9st fog eredm\u00e9nyezni \u2013 k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 800 ezer embert\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a jelent\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ugyanakkor, ahogy az NBU megjegyezte, azok, akik jobban alkalmazkodtak a befogad\u00f3 orsz\u00e1gokban, megtagadhatj\u00e1k a haz\u00e1jukba val\u00f3 visszat\u00e9r\u00e9st, vagy elhalaszthatj\u00e1k azt. Emellett n\u0151 a menek\u00fcltek lassabb visszat\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9nek kock\u00e1zata a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1sa, a nagy intenzit\u00e1s\u00fa harcok \u00e9s a polg\u00e1ri infrastrukt\u00fara elleni t\u00e1mad\u00e1sok miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eA h\u00e1bor\u00fa befejez\u00e9se ut\u00e1n a kiv\u00e1ndorl\u00e1si folyamatok feler\u0151s\u00f6dhetnek a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi csal\u00e1degyes\u00edt\u00e9s miatt a f\u00e9rfiak kiutaz\u00e1si korl\u00e1toz\u00e1s\u00e1nak felold\u00e1s\u00e1t k\u00f6vet\u0151en, vagy a tov\u00e1bbra is neh\u00e9z gazdas\u00e1gi helyzet miatt. Ez tov\u00e1bb gyeng\u00edti a belf\u00f6ldi kereslet \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9t, a potenci\u00e1lis fogyaszt\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se \u00e9s a munkaer\u0151-k\u00edn\u00e1lat cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t id\u00e9zi el\u0151, valamint a munkaer\u0151-piaci egyenl\u0151tlens\u00e9gek miatt, ami a b\u00e9rekre ford\u00edtott \u00fczleti kiad\u00e1sok n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t fogja eredm\u00e9nyezni\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll az NBU jelent\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<!– creatorid:bey5821 –><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a menek\u00fcltek fokozatos visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba a biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9vel 2025-t\u0151l v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1sa azonban n\u00f6veli annak kock\u00e1zat\u00e1t, hogy az ukr\u00e1n \u00e1llampolg\u00e1rok nagy r\u00e9sze nem t\u00e9r vissza.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":45617,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1593,41,33854,17,33],"tags":[218021,120,33918,585],"class_list":["post-45616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-hazateres","tag-ukrajna-hu","tag-ukran-menekultek","tag-ukran-nemzeti-bank-nbu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45616"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45618,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45616\/revisions\/45618"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/45617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}