{"id":45986,"date":"2024-02-15T14:38:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-15T12:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45986"},"modified":"2024-02-15T04:42:05","modified_gmt":"2024-02-15T02:42:05","slug":"vagtat-romaniaban-az-inflacio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=45986&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1gtat Rom\u00e1ni\u00e1ban az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Minden v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1st alulm\u00falt a janu\u00e1ri rom\u00e1n infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adat, ez pedig keleti szomsz\u00e9dunk szebb napokat is meg\u00e9lt k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiaca sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra is rossz h\u00edr. A p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1s az \u00e9v els\u0151 h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban k\u00f6zel k\u00e9tszerese volt a magyarnak.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jelent\u0151s m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben az elemz\u0151i v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok s\u00e1vj\u00e1t jelent\u0151 7,1-7,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k felett, a magyarorsz\u00e1gi szint k\u00f6zel k\u00e9tszeres\u00e9t jelent\u0151 7,41 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon \u00e1llt meg a janu\u00e1ri rom\u00e1n infl\u00e1ci\u00f3, ami keleti szomsz\u00e9dunkn\u00e1l a decemberi sz\u00e1mokhoz k\u00e9pest a p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1s tekintet\u00e9ben 80 b\u00e1zispontos emelked\u00e9st jelent. A rom\u00e1n jegybank az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s jelent\u00e9st megel\u0151z\u0151en a kamatok szinten tart\u00e1sa mellett d\u00f6nt\u00f6tt, \u00edgy az alapkamat tov\u00e1bbra is 7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon \u00e1ll.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A jegybank az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adat megjelen\u00e9s\u00e9t megel\u0151z\u0151en kiemelte: az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 tavaly \u00e9vv\u00e9g\u00e9n a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l nagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben enyh\u00fclt Rom\u00e1ni\u00e1ban, \u00edgy sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1saik szerint a jelenlegi monet\u00e1ris politik\u00e1jukkal 2025 v\u00e9g\u00e9re el\u00e9rhetik a p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1si c\u00e9ls\u00e1v fels\u0151 sz\u00e9l\u00e9t jelent\u0151 3,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot. Az ING elemz\u0151i szerint ezek a sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sok optimist\u00e1k: az elemz\u0151c\u00e9g el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se az idei \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re 4,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos, 2025 v\u00e9g\u00e9re pedig 4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1si mutat\u00f3t val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edtenek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jegybank k\u00f6zlem\u00e9nye szerint ugyanakkor az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 elleni harcban tov\u00e1bbra is kock\u00e1zatot jelent a k\u00f6zszf\u00e9ra tervezett fizet\u00e9semel\u00e9sein \u00e9s a nyugd\u00edjemel\u00e9seken kereszt\u00fcl t\u00falzottan b\u0151kez\u0171nek \u00edg\u00e9rkez\u0151 fisk\u00e1lis oldal t\u00e9nyked\u00e9se.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Az ING elemz\u0151i szerint a monet\u00e1ris laz\u00edt\u00e1s m\u00e1jusban indulhat majd meg, \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re pedig az 5,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos szintig s\u00fcllyedhet majd az alapkamat m\u00e9rt\u00e9ke, ugyanakkor elk\u00e9pzelhet\u0151 egy \u00e1prilisi kezd\u00e9s is, ez esetben azonban 6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon \u00e1llhatnak majd meg a jegybank\u00e1rok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az ING szak\u00e9rt\u0151i elemz\u00e9s\u00fckben kiemelik: a rom\u00e1n p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyminiszt\u00e9rium az idei \u00e9vre el\u0151ir\u00e1nyzott k\u00f6tv\u00e9nykibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s\u00e1nak 13 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t imm\u00e1ron elv\u00e9gezte, ami nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l egyvonalban van a k\u00f6z\u00e9p-kelet-eur\u00f3pai \u00e1tlaggal \u2013 a janu\u00e1ri licitfedezet ar\u00e1ny a piacra dobott k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyek eset\u00e9ben azonban m\u00e1r egyenesen a legrosszabb volt a teljes r\u00e9gi\u00f3t tekintve.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A rom\u00e1n pap\u00edrok l\u00e1tv\u00e1nyos alulteljes\u00edt\u00e9se m\u00f6g\u00f6tt az elemz\u0151k szerint minden bizonnyal az \u00e1llhat, hogy a tov\u00e1bbra is magas infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt a k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyeken re\u00e1lhozam \u2013 a hazai \u00e1llampap\u00edrpiaccal \u00e9les ellent\u00e9tben \u2013 nem \u00e9rhet\u0151 el, \u00edgy a lakoss\u00e1g m\u00e1s befektet\u00e9si form\u00e1kat r\u00e9szes\u00edt ink\u00e1bb el\u0151nyben. Hiszen m\u00edg a rom\u00e1n k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiacon 6-6,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k felett kamatoz\u00f3 pap\u00edrt nem tal\u00e1lni 7,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00f6rnyezetben, addig itthon a jelenleg el\u00e9rhet\u0151 \u00e1llampap\u00edrok szinte mindegyike magasabb hozamot garant\u00e1l m\u00e1r, mint a janu\u00e1ri 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1si adat \u2013 olvashat\u00f3 a Vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Minden v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1st alulm\u00falt a janu\u00e1ri rom\u00e1n infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adat, ez pedig keleti szomsz\u00e9dunk szebb napokat is meg\u00e9lt k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiaca sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra is rossz h\u00edr. A p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1s az \u00e9v els\u0151 h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban k\u00f6zel k\u00e9tszerese volt a magyarnak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":45989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,23,39],"tags":[642,1424],"class_list":["post-45986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-fotok","category-vilag","tag-inflacio","tag-romania"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45986","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45986"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45986\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45990,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45986\/revisions\/45990"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/45989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}