{"id":51832,"date":"2024-08-02T18:05:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-02T15:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=51832"},"modified":"2024-08-02T14:17:46","modified_gmt":"2024-08-02T11:17:46","slug":"az-nbu-frissitett-elorejelzese-szerint-egy-evvel-kitolodik-a-menekultek-visszaterese-ukrajnaba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=51832&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az NBU friss\u00edtett el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint egy \u00e9vvel kitol\u00f3dik a menek\u00fcltek visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Az energetikai helyzet roml\u00e1sa \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi viszonyok lass\u00fa normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3d\u00e1sa a kor\u00e1bban v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l nagyobb menek\u00fclt\u00e1raml\u00e1st eredm\u00e9nyez 2024\u20132025-ben Ukrajn\u00e1b\u00f3l, \u00e9s a fokozatos visszat\u00e9r\u00e9s 2026-t\u00f3l kezd\u0151dik \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be p\u00e9nteken az rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) Infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva (2024. j\u00falius).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jelent\u00e9s szerint 2024\u20132025-ben tov\u00e1bbi menek\u00fcltek k\u00fclf\u00f6ldre \u00e1raml\u00e1sa v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 (mintegy 400, illetve 300 ezer f\u0151). Ezt a felt\u00e9telez\u00e9st az \u00e1prilisi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9shez k\u00e9pest rontja az ukr\u00e1n energiarendszer jelent\u0151s t\u00f6nkret\u00e9tele, amely hossz\u00fa \u00e1ramkimarad\u00e1sokkal j\u00e1r, \u00e9s n\u00f6veli a f\u0171t\u00e9si szezon kock\u00e1zatait. \u201eA mindennapi neh\u00e9zs\u00e9gek mellett a gyakori \u00e1ramkies\u00e9sek negat\u00edvan \u00e9rintik a termel\u00e9si folyamatokat, ami cs\u00f6kkenti a gazdas\u00e1gi aktivit\u00e1st \u00e9s a munkaer\u0151-keresletet, tov\u00e1bb serkenti a migr\u00e1ci\u00f3t. A migr\u00e1ci\u00f3t r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a gazdas\u00e1gi felt\u00e9telek magas biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok miatti lass\u00fa normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3d\u00e1sa fogja okozni\u201d \u2013 \u00e1ll a besz\u00e1mol\u00f3ban.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u201eV\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 2026-ban megkezd\u0151dik a migr\u00e1nsok nett\u00f3 visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se Ukrajn\u00e1ba, \u00e9s fokozatos lesz (kb. 400 000 f\u0151), mivel az \u00faj helyhez val\u00f3 alkalmazkod\u00e1s fokoz\u00f3dik a hossz\u00fa k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi tart\u00f3zkod\u00e1s, valamint az ukrajnai k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyek, t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt az \u00e1ramsz\u00fcnetek miatt, bonyolultabb lesz, mint kor\u00e1bban gondolt\u00e1k. A bels\u0151 menek\u00fcltek sz\u00e1ma is jelent\u0151s marad, mert a felm\u00e9r\u00e9sek szerint jelent\u0151s r\u00e9sz\u00fcknek nincs hova visszat\u00e9rnie a jelent\u0151s puszt\u00edt\u00e1sok miatt\u201d \u2013 j\u00f3solta az NBU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201eA gazdas\u00e1g szerkezet\u00e9ben bek\u00f6vetkez\u0151 jelent\u0151s v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok \u00e9s a szakk\u00e9pzett munkaer\u0151 ir\u00e1nti ig\u00e9ny n\u00f6veked\u00e9se a munkaer\u0151-piaci egyenl\u0151tlens\u00e9gek tov\u00e1bbi er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t vonja maga ut\u00e1n, ami egyes \u00e1gazatokban a termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9g n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t meghalad\u00f3 b\u00e9rn\u00f6veked\u00e9st \u00f6szt\u00f6n\u00f6z majd a lakhat\u00e1s, az infrastrukt\u00fara \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1g \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00fcl\u00e9se miatti munkahelysz\u00e1m n\u00f6veked\u00e9se a menek\u00fcltek akt\u00edvabb visszat\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezethet\u201d \u2013 olvashat\u00f3 az NBU jelent\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<!– creatorid:bey5821 –><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az energetikai helyzet roml\u00e1sa \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi viszonyok lass\u00fa normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3d\u00e1sa a kor\u00e1bban v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l nagyobb menek\u00fclt\u00e1raml\u00e1st eredm\u00e9nyez 2024\u20132025-ben Ukrajn\u00e1b\u00f3l, \u00e9s a fokozatos visszat\u00e9r\u00e9s 2026-t\u00f3l kezd\u0151dik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":51833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,33854,17,33],"tags":[3502,25874,33918,322194],"class_list":["post-51832","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-surgos","category-ukrajna","tag-elvandorlas","tag-munkaerohiany","tag-ukran-menekultek","tag-visszateres-ukrajnaba"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51832","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51832"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51832\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51835,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51832\/revisions\/51835"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/51833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}