{"id":54014,"date":"2024-10-24T15:03:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T12:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=54014"},"modified":"2024-10-23T23:01:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-23T20:01:21","slug":"az-imf-szerint-ket-orszag-miatt-robbanhat-az-adossagbomba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=54014&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az IMF szerint k\u00e9t orsz\u00e1g miatt robbanhat az ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gbomba"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) legfrissebb jelent\u00e9se szerint a glob\u00e1lis \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g helyzete s\u00falyosabb lehet, mint azt kor\u00e1bban felt\u00e9telezt\u00e9k. Az elemz\u00e9s k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s K\u00edna n\u00f6vekv\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny\u00e1ra h\u00edvja fel a figyelmet, mik\u00f6zben el\u0151revet\u00edti, hogy a vil\u00e1gszint\u0171 \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g 2024 v\u00e9g\u00e9re meghaladhatja a 100 000 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt \u2013 \u00edrta meg a Cnbc.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az IMF \u00e9ves Fiscal Monitor jelent\u00e9s\u00e9ben arra figyelmeztet, hogy az \u00e9vtized v\u00e9g\u00e9re a glob\u00e1lis \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g el\u00e9rheti a vil\u00e1g GDP-j\u00e9nek 100%-\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A n\u00f6vekv\u0151 ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gszint jelent\u0151s r\u00e9sze az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokra \u00e9s K\u00edn\u00e1ra koncentr\u00e1l\u00f3dik. A szervezet becsl\u00e9se szerint, ha ezt a k\u00e9t orsz\u00e1got kiz\u00e1rn\u00e1k a sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sokb\u00f3l, a glob\u00e1lis GDP-ar\u00e1nyos \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g mind\u00f6ssze 20% k\u00f6r\u00fcli \u00e9rt\u00e9kre cs\u00f6kkenne.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Vitor Gaspar, az IMF fisk\u00e1lis \u00fcgyek\u00e9rt felel\u0151s igazgat\u00f3ja hangs\u00falyozta: \u201eAz \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g rosszabb lehet, mint amilyennek l\u00e1tszik.\u201d Hozz\u00e1tette, hogy a korm\u00e1nyok ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gsz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sai gyakran optimista el\u0151feltev\u00e9seken alapulnak, \u00e9s hajlamosak az alulbecsl\u00e9sre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jelent\u00e9s r\u00e1mutat arra, hogy a korm\u00e1nyok \u201efisk\u00e1lis politikai trilemm\u00e1val\u201d n\u00e9znek szembe. Egyr\u00e9szt a biztons\u00e1g \u00e9s a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben t\u00f6bbet kellene k\u00f6lteni\u00fck, m\u00e1sr\u00e9szt szembe kell n\u00e9zni\u00fck a magasabb ad\u00f3kkal szembeni ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1ssal, mik\u00f6zben az \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g szintje egyre kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 fenntarthat\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen neh\u00e9z helyzetben vannak a Szahar\u00e1t\u00f3l d\u00e9lre fekv\u0151 afrikai orsz\u00e1gok. Ezekben az \u00e1llamokban a szeg\u00e9nys\u00e9g enyh\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9t c\u00e9lz\u00f3 kiad\u00e1sok sz\u00fcks\u00e9gess\u00e9ge, az alacsonyabb ad\u00f3z\u00e1si k\u00e9pess\u00e9gek \u00e9s a kedvez\u0151tlenebb finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si felt\u00e9telek egy\u00fcttesen jelentenek kih\u00edv\u00e1st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az IMF figyelmeztet, hogy a fenntarthatatlan ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gszintek miatt fenn\u00e1ll a hirtelen elad\u00e1sok vesz\u00e9lye a piacokon, ha a befektet\u0151k t\u00fals\u00e1gosan rossznak \u00edt\u00e9lik meg egy orsz\u00e1g k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si helyzet\u00e9t. Ez a bizonytalans\u00e1g m\u00e9g a magasabb ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gt\u0171r\u0151 k\u00e9pess\u00e9ggel rendelkez\u0151 fejlett gazdas\u00e1gokban, p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokban \u00e9s K\u00edn\u00e1ban is probl\u00e9m\u00e1t jelenthet, \u00e9s magasabb hitelfelv\u00e9teli k\u00f6lts\u00e9gekhez vezethet m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gokban is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) legfrissebb jelent\u00e9se szerint a glob\u00e1lis \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g helyzete s\u00falyosabb lehet, mint azt kor\u00e1bban felt\u00e9telezt\u00e9k. Az elemz\u00e9s k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s K\u00edna n\u00f6vekv\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny\u00e1ra h\u00edvja fel a figyelmet, mik\u00f6zben el\u0151revet\u00edti, hogy a vil\u00e1gszint\u0171 \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g 2024 v\u00e9g\u00e9re meghaladhatja a 100 000 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt \u2013 \u00edrta meg a Cnbc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":54015,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[429,428,259,5002,33650,246],"class_list":["post-54014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-allamadossag","tag-gdp","tag-kina","tag-koltsegvetesi-hiany","tag-nemzetkozi-valutaalap-imf","tag-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=54014"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54017,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014\/revisions\/54017"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/54015"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=54014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=54014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=54014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}