{"id":54240,"date":"2024-10-30T17:17:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T15:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=54240"},"modified":"2024-10-29T23:21:06","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T21:21:06","slug":"az-imf-is-utanajar-romania-rohamosan-bovulo-koltsegvetesi-hianyanak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=54240&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az IMF is ut\u00e1naj\u00e1r Rom\u00e1nia rohamosan b\u0151v\u00fcl\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny\u00e1nak"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Az IMF deleg\u00e1ci\u00f3ja november elej\u00e9n \u00e9rkezik Bukarestbe, a napirendek \u00e9l\u00e9n pedig nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel Rom\u00e1nia b\u0151v\u00fcl\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya lesz. Az IMF el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben Rom\u00e1nia k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya a GDP 6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka k\u00f6r\u00fcl marad.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) Jan Kees Martijn vezette misszi\u00f3ja november 5. \u00e9s 8. k\u00f6z\u00f6tt Bukarestbe l\u00e1togat Rom\u00e1nia gazdas\u00e1gi helyzet\u00e9nek rendszeres \u00e1ttekint\u00e9se c\u00e9lj\u00e1b\u00f3l \u2013 jelentette be Geoff Gottlieb, az IMF k\u00f6z\u00e9p-, kelet- \u00e9s d\u00e9lkelet-eur\u00f3pai vezet\u0151 region\u00e1lis k\u00e9pvisel\u0151je. A napirend \u00e9l\u00e9n nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel Rom\u00e1nia b\u0151v\u00fcl\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya lesz, amely az IMF el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben a GDP 6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka k\u00f6r\u00fcl alakul.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Rom\u00e1nia k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya 2024-ben el\u00e9rheti a GDP 7,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t, miut\u00e1n az \u00e9v els\u0151 kilenc h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban meghaladta az 5,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot. Az IMF arra figyelmeztetett, hogy tov\u00e1bbi int\u00e9zked\u00e9sekre lesz sz\u00fcks\u00e9g a deficit fenntarthat\u00f3 szintre val\u00f3 vissza\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1hoz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A deleg\u00e1ci\u00f3 \u00e1ttekinti Rom\u00e1nia k\u00f6zelm\u00faltbeli gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi fejlem\u00e9nyeit, \u00e9s friss\u00edti az orsz\u00e1g makrogazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1t\u00e1sait \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be r\u00f3la a Bloomberg. A 2024-es b\u00fcdzs\u00e9 tervez\u00e9sekor a bukaresti korm\u00e1ny 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nnyal sz\u00e1molt, amit a szeptemberi k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9s-kiigaz\u00edt\u00e1s alkalm\u00e1val 6,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra m\u00f3dos\u00edtott. A kilenchavi adat ismeret\u00e9ben a 6,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k is teljesen illuz\u00f3rikusnak t\u0171nik, az \u00e9ves deficit minden bizonnyal 8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcl alakul majd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A legfrissebb vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi kitekint\u00e9sben az IMF az \u00e1prilisi 2,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l 1,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra m\u00f3dos\u00edtotta Rom\u00e1nia 2024-es n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, 2025-re pedig 3,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra gyorsul. Az IMF fel\u00fclvizsg\u00e1lta a rom\u00e1n foly\u00f3 fizet\u00e9si m\u00e9rleg hi\u00e1ny\u00e1ra vonatkoz\u00f3 becsl\u00e9seit is 2024-ben a GDP 7,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ra emelkedik, 2025-ben pedig csak kis m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben javul 7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rom\u00e1n v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sok az IMF-vizsg\u00e1lat \u00e1rny\u00e9k\u00e1ban<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Alig egy h\u00f3nap m\u00falva parlamenti \u00e9s eln\u00f6kv\u00e1laszt\u00e1st rendeznek Rom\u00e1ni\u00e1ban, a jel\u00f6ltek pedig sz\u00e9les p\u00e1ly\u00e1n mozognak, de nincs egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171 es\u00e9lyes. Vannak persze hagyom\u00e1nyosan nagy szerepl\u0151k, \u00edgy a Szoci\u00e1ldemokrata P\u00e1rt (PSD) \u00e9s a liber\u00e1lis-nacionalista PNL egyar\u00e1nt k\u00fczd a v\u00e1laszt\u00f3k bizalm\u00e1\u00e9rt. Ugyanakkor a k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny klient\u00fara\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9ssel \u00e9s korrupci\u00f3val v\u00e1dolja a nagy rom\u00e1niai politikai er\u0151ket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A kamp\u00e1nyban az Ukrajna k\u00f6zels\u00e9ge miatti biztons\u00e1gi k\u00e9rd\u00e9sek kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 ker\u00fcltek k\u00f6z\u00e9ppontba, \u00e9s nem sok sz\u00f3 esett a rossz \u00e1llapotban l\u00e9v\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9sr\u0151l sem, ugyanakkor a nacionalista retorika meghat\u00e1roz\u00f3 elemm\u00e9 v\u00e1lt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A nacionalista retorik\u00e1val nagy sikert lehet el\u00e9rni: a Sz\u00f6vets\u00e9g a Rom\u00e1nok Uni\u00f3j\u00e1\u00e9rt (AUR) 2020-ban t\u00f6rt be a k\u00f6ztudatba, amikor a Moldov\u00e1val val\u00f3 egyes\u00fcl\u00e9s szorgalmazt\u00e1k. Ma az AUR alap\u00edt\u00f3ja, George Simion, az egykori radik\u00e1lis aktivista, 20 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos t\u00e1mogatotts\u00e1got \u00e9lvez az eln\u00f6kv\u00e1laszt\u00e1si versenyben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az IMF deleg\u00e1ci\u00f3ja november elej\u00e9n \u00e9rkezik Bukarestbe, a napirendek \u00e9l\u00e9n pedig nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel Rom\u00e1nia b\u0151v\u00fcl\u0151 k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya lesz. Az IMF el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben Rom\u00e1nia k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nya a GDP 6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka k\u00f6r\u00fcl marad.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":54241,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[33650,1424,4812],"class_list":["post-54240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-nemzetkozi-valutaalap-imf","tag-romania","tag-vizsgalat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=54240"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54240\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54242,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54240\/revisions\/54242"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/54241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=54240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=54240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=54240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}