{"id":58703,"date":"2025-03-31T15:33:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T12:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=58703"},"modified":"2025-03-31T12:10:44","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T09:10:44","slug":"a-imf-ertekelte-a-hosszan-tarto-haboru-negativ-hatasait-ukrajnaban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=58703&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A IMF \u00e9rt\u00e9kelte a hosszan tart\u00f3 h\u00e1bor\u00fa negat\u00edv hat\u00e1sait Ukrajn\u00e1ban"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A gazdas\u00e1gi szak\u00e9rt\u0151k 2%-os GDP-cs\u00f6kken\u00e9st j\u00f3soltak, ha a h\u00e1bor\u00fa Ukrajn\u00e1ban 2026-ig elh\u00faz\u00f3dik \u00e9s intenz\u00edvebb\u00e9 v\u00e1lik. Ez a legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv. Err\u0151l a Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutalap (IMF) Memorandum\u00e1ban van sz\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv azt modellezi, hogy mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik, ha a h\u00e1bor\u00fa 2026 k\u00f6zep\u00e9ig eltart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"572\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/5fb2518d8663a-depositphotos-74129005-xl-2015-min-1200x670jpg-1024x572.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-58660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/5fb2518d8663a-depositphotos-74129005-xl-2015-min-1200x670jpg-1024x572.webp 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/5fb2518d8663a-depositphotos-74129005-xl-2015-min-1200x670jpg-300x168.webp 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/5fb2518d8663a-depositphotos-74129005-xl-2015-min-1200x670jpg-768x429.webp 768w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/5fb2518d8663a-depositphotos-74129005-xl-2015-min-1200x670jpg.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv szerint 2025-ben 2%-kal, 2026-ban pedig 0,5%-kal cs\u00f6kken a GDP. A h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1sa miatt kevesebb menek\u00fclt t\u00e9r vissza Ukrajn\u00e1ba, mint a b\u00e1zis forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv szerint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi hi\u00e1ny a legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv szerint 162,9 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra r\u00fag, ami 14,1 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rral t\u00f6bb, mint a b\u00e1zis progn\u00f3zis (148,8 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv alapj\u00e1n az IMF \u00fagy v\u00e9li, hogy a katonai t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s cs\u00f6kkenhet, ami tov\u00e1bb s\u00falyosb\u00edtja a biztons\u00e1gi helyzetet, rontja a gazdas\u00e1gi mutat\u00f3kat, \u00e9s a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi hi\u00e1ny t\u00f6bb ter\u00fcleten is \u00e9rezhet\u0151bb\u00e9 v\u00e1lik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF kiemeli, hogy Ukrajna a h\u00e1bor\u00fa alatt akt\u00edvan reag\u00e1lt a gazdas\u00e1gi kih\u00edv\u00e1sokra, egyens\u00falyozva az operat\u00edv int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket \u00e9s a t\u00e1rsadalmi sz\u00fcks\u00e9gleteket. A tov\u00e1bbi stabilit\u00e1s \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben n\u00f6velni kell az ad\u00f3bev\u00e9teleket, k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1st kell bevonni, er\u0151s\u00edteni kell a monet\u00e1ris politik\u00e1t, \u00e9s optimaliz\u00e1lni kell az \u00e1llami kiad\u00e1sokat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; translatorid:vik3255 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A gazdas\u00e1gi szak\u00e9rt\u0151k 2%-os GDP-cs\u00f6kken\u00e9st j\u00f3soltak, ha a h\u00e1bor\u00fa Ukrajn\u00e1ban 2026-ig elh\u00faz\u00f3dik \u00e9s intenz\u00edvebb\u00e9 v\u00e1lik. Ez a legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":58660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,33854,49,11,33],"tags":[1756,428,613049,161801,33650,120],"class_list":["post-58703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-hirek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-ukrajna","tag-elorejelzes","tag-gdp","tag-gdp-csokkenes","tag-imf-memorandum","tag-nemzetkozi-valutaalap-imf","tag-ukrajna-hu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=58703"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58703\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":58704,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58703\/revisions\/58704"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/58660"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=58703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=58703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=58703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}