{"id":60115,"date":"2025-05-09T21:34:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T18:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60115"},"modified":"2025-05-09T20:18:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T17:18:00","slug":"az-euro-lehet-a-hrivnya-alapvalutaja","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60115&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az eur\u00f3 lehet a hrivnya alapvalut\u00e1ja"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Eddig a doll\u00e1rhoz r\u00f6gz\u00edtett\u00e9k az ukr\u00e1n deviza \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t. Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank eln\u00f6ke szerint a potenci\u00e1lis uni\u00f3s csatlakoz\u00e1s indokolhatja a v\u00e1lt\u00e1st.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ukrajna fontolgatja, hogy felhagyjon az amerikai doll\u00e1r haszn\u00e1lat\u00e1val mint az \u00e1rfolyamr\u00f6gz\u00edt\u00e9s alapj\u00e1ul szolg\u00e1l\u00f3 valut\u00e1val, \u00e9s \u00e1tt\u00e9rjen az eur\u00f3ra. Ez a lehets\u00e9ges forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv t\u00f6bb t\u00e9nyez\u0151vel magyar\u00e1zhat\u00f3 \u2013 jelentette ki Andrij Pisnij, az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank (NBU) eln\u00f6ke a Reutersnek. Pisnij elmond\u00e1sa szerint az orsz\u00e1g potenci\u00e1lis EU-csatlakoz\u00e1sa, az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3 n\u00f6vekv\u0151 szerepe Ukrajna v\u00e9delmi k\u00e9pess\u00e9geinek biztos\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ban \u00e9s a vil\u00e1gkereskedelem esetleges fragment\u00e1ci\u00f3ja miatt az NBU vizsg\u00e1lja annak lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t, hogy az eur\u00f3 legyen a hrivnya \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1nak f\u0151 viszony\u00edt\u00e1si alapja a doll\u00e1r helyett.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/nbu-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/nbu-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/nbu-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/nbu-1-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A nyugati sajt\u00f3nak adott komment\u00e1rj\u00e1ban Pisnij megjegyezte, hogy ez egy \u00f6sszetett feladat, amely alapos \u00e9s sokoldal\u00fa el\u0151k\u00e9sz\u00edt\u00e9st ig\u00e9nyel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az NBU eln\u00f6ke szerint a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1si \u00e9s fogyaszt\u00f3i aktivit\u00e1s fellend\u00fcl\u00e9se, az Eur\u00f3p\u00e1hoz f\u0171z\u0151d\u0151 szorosabb kapcsolatok, valamint a gazdas\u00e1g normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3d\u00e1sa el\u0151seg\u00edtheti, hogy a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9v sor\u00e1n enyh\u00e9n emelkedjen 3,7\u20133,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ugyanakkor hangs\u00falyozta: Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1gi p\u00e1ly\u00e1ja nagym\u00e9rt\u00e9kben a fronthelyzett\u0151l \u00e9s az orosz-ukr\u00e1n h\u00e1bor\u00fa alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t\u00f3l f\u00fcgg. Pisnij elmond\u00e1sa szerint az NBU 2025-ben 55 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1ssal sz\u00e1mol. Ez az \u00f6sszeg nemcsak a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nyt fedezn\u00e9, hanem tartal\u00e9kk\u00e9nt is szolg\u00e1lna a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekre, amikor a t\u00e1mogat\u00e1si \u00f6sszegek v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an cs\u00f6kkenni fognak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2026-ban k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 17 milli\u00e1rd, 2027-ben pedig 15 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r be\u00e9rkez\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edtunk \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A doll\u00e1r helyzete<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Donald Trump visszat\u00e9r\u00e9se az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok eln\u00f6ki sz\u00e9k\u00e9be ut\u00e1n a doll\u00e1r (DXY index) t\u00f6bb mint 9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot vesz\u00edtett \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9b\u0151l m\u00e1s vezet\u0151 valut\u00e1khoz k\u00e9pest, mivel a befektet\u0151k fokozatosan elfordulnak az amerikai eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kt\u0151l. Ennek ellen\u00e9re Pisnij hangs\u00falyozta, hogy az amerikai doll\u00e1r tov\u00e1bbra is domin\u00e1l a devizapiac minden szegmens\u00e9ben. Ugyanakkor hozz\u00e1tette: az eur\u00f3ban denomin\u00e1lt tranzakci\u00f3k ar\u00e1nya a legt\u00f6bb szegmensben fokozatosan n\u0151 \u2013 b\u00e1r \u201eegyel\u0151re m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelten\u201d. Pishnij kor\u00e1bban, 2024 febru\u00e1rj\u00e1ban m\u00e1r utalt arra, hogy a doll\u00e1rr\u00f3l eur\u00f3ra val\u00f3 v\u00e1lt\u00e1s lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t m\u00e9rlegelik, de akkor m\u00e9g nem sz\u00fcletett d\u00f6nt\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/nemzetkozi-gazdasag\/2025\/05\/valtas-euro-ukrajna-hrivnya\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eddig a doll\u00e1rhoz r\u00f6gz\u00edtett\u00e9k az ukr\u00e1n deviza \u00e1rfolyam\u00e1t. Az Ukr\u00e1n Nemzeti Bank eln\u00f6ke szerint a potenci\u00e1lis uni\u00f3s csatlakoz\u00e1s indokolhatja a v\u00e1lt\u00e1st.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":60116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,33],"tags":[668234,205,433,585,164079],"class_list":["post-60115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-ukrajna","tag-alapvaluta","tag-euro","tag-hrivnya","tag-ukran-nemzeti-bank-nbu","tag-valtas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60115","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60115"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60115\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60117,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60115\/revisions\/60117"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}