{"id":60377,"date":"2025-05-20T16:27:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T13:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60377"},"modified":"2025-05-19T23:30:23","modified_gmt":"2025-05-19T20:30:23","slug":"kiadta-elorejelzeset-az-europai-bizottsag-ausztriaban-jon-a-recesszio-nemetorszag-stagnal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60377&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Kiadta el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t az Eur\u00f3pai Bizotts\u00e1g: Ausztri\u00e1ban j\u00f6n a recesszi\u00f3, N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g stagn\u00e1l"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az Eur\u00f3pai Bizotts\u00e1g lassul\u00f3 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3val \u00e9s gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9ssel sz\u00e1mol, amit a fogyaszt\u00e1s \u00e9s a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok p\u00f6rgethetnek. Az EB szerint egyed\u00fcl Ausztri\u00e1ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 recesszi\u00f3, m\u00edg a legnagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 gyorsul\u00e1st M\u00e1lta produk\u00e1lhatja.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 az \u00e9v k\u00f6zep\u00e9re 2,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra lassul az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben, 2026-ban pedig 1,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra cs\u00f6kken az Eur\u00f3pai Bizotts\u00e1g (EB) legfrissebb el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint. A gazdas\u00e1gi b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s a 2025-\u00f6s 0,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l j\u00f6v\u0151re 1,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra gyorsul az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezetben, ami optimist\u00e1bb becsl\u00e9s az Eur\u00f3pai K\u00f6zponti Bank legut\u00f3bbi, m\u00e1rciusi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9hez k\u00e9pest. Az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3ban id\u00e9n 1,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos, j\u00f6v\u0151re 1,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/eu-euro-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/eu-euro-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/eu-euro-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/eu-euro-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/eu-euro.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A bizotts\u00e1g abb\u00f3l indul ki, hogy az amerikai v\u00e1mok 10 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos szinten maradnak, egyes term\u00e9kekn\u00e9l magasabb v\u00e1mokkal, m\u00edg m\u00e1s \u00e1rucikkekn\u00e9l v\u00e1mmentess\u00e9ggel sz\u00e1molnak. A br\u00fcsszeli tisztvisel\u0151k \u00fagy l\u00e1tj\u00e1k, hogy a bizonytalans\u00e1g nyomasztja a belf\u00f6ldi keresletet, de a munkaer\u0151piac tov\u00e1bbra is er\u0151s marad, a 2026-os fellend\u00fcl\u00e9st a bels\u0151 fogyaszt\u00e1s \u00e9s a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok p\u00f6rgethetik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az EB szerint egyed\u00fcl Ausztri\u00e1ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 recesszi\u00f3: id\u00e9n 0,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal zsugorodhat a gazdas\u00e1g, m\u00edg j\u00f6v\u0151re 1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151het. Nyugati szomsz\u00e9dunk a magas energia\u00e1rak \u00e9s munkaer\u0151k\u00f6lts\u00e9gek miatt szenved. N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban nulla sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal stagn\u00e1l\u00e1sra lehet sz\u00e1m\u00edtani 2025-ben, 2026-ban pedig 1,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos emelked\u00e9sre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M\u00e1lta produk\u00e1lhatja a legnagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 gyorsul\u00e1st: a gazdas\u00e1g 4,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal b\u0151v\u00fclhet ebben az \u00e9vben, m\u00edg j\u00f6v\u0151re 4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Magyarorsz\u00e1gon 2025-ben 0,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos, 2026-ban 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos lehet a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s. Az EKB a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151, j\u00fanius 5-i kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9ssel egy id\u0151ben saj\u00e1t negyed\u00e9ves el\u0151rejelz\u00e9seit is ismerteti. A befektet\u0151k kamatv\u00e1g\u00e1sra sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak, mivel sok d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3 osztja azt a n\u00e9zetet, hogy az amerikai v\u00e1mok lefel\u00e9 ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 nyom\u00e1st gyakorolnak majd az \u00e1rakra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c9rdemes megeml\u00edteni, hogy az Eurostat h\u00e9tf\u0151n k\u00f6zz\u00e9tett, v\u00e9gleges adatai szerint az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezet \u00e9ves infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s r\u00e1t\u00e1ja \u00e1prilisban az el\u0151zetes becsl\u00e9ssel \u00f6sszhangban 2,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon, az el\u0151z\u0151 havival azonos szinten \u00e1llt az uni\u00f3s \u00f6sszehasonl\u00edt\u00e1si c\u00e9lokra kalkul\u00e1lt harmoniz\u00e1lt fogyaszt\u00f3i \u00e1rindex (HICP) szerint. Az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3 \u00e9ves infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ja \u00e1prilisban 2,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra cs\u00f6kkent a m\u00e1rciusi 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/nemzetkozi-gazdasag\/2025\/05\/europai-bizottsag-elorejelzes-ausztria-nemet?utm_source=hirstart&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=hiraggregator\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az Eur\u00f3pai Bizotts\u00e1g lassul\u00f3 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3val \u00e9s gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9ssel sz\u00e1mol, amit a fogyaszt\u00e1s \u00e9s a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok p\u00f6rgethetnek. Az EB szerint egyed\u00fcl Ausztri\u00e1ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 recesszi\u00f3, m\u00edg a legnagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 gyorsul\u00e1st M\u00e1lta produk\u00e1lhatja.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":60378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[9765,698,382,135,4744],"class_list":["post-60377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-ausztria","tag-europai-bizottsag","tag-gazdasag","tag-nemetorszag","tag-recesszio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60377"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60377\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60379,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60377\/revisions\/60379"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}