{"id":60549,"date":"2025-05-26T21:12:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-26T18:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60549"},"modified":"2025-05-26T17:40:29","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T14:40:29","slug":"a-fitch-lerontotta-ukrajna-kilatasait-a-gyenge-gazdasagi-novekedesre-es-a-magas-inflaciora-hivatkozva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=60549&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A Fitch lerontotta Ukrajna kil\u00e1t\u00e1sait a gyenge gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9sre \u00e9s a magas infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra hivatkozva"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Meger\u0151s\u00edtette Ukrajna ad\u00f3sbesorol\u00e1s\u00e1t a korl\u00e1tozott cs\u0151d szintj\u00e9n a Fitch Ratings, miut\u00e1n az orsz\u00e1g nem tudott meg\u00e1llapodni hitelez\u0151ivel ad\u00f3ss\u00e1ga \u00e1t\u00fctemez\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A diplom\u00e1ciai fesz\u00fclts\u00e9geket ugyan enyh\u00edtette az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Ukrajna k\u00f6z\u00f6tti, \u00e1sv\u00e1nyi anyagokr\u00f3l sz\u00f3l\u00f3 meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s a Fitch szerint, de a lehets\u00e9ges gazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151ny\u00f6k tov\u00e1bbra is nagyon bizonytalanok.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"913\" height=\"514\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/623187f919e05-40335796-403-913jpg.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/623187f919e05-40335796-403-913jpg.webp 913w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/623187f919e05-40335796-403-913jpg-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/623187f919e05-40335796-403-913jpg-768x432.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 913px) 100vw, 913px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 c\u00e9g el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint az ukr\u00e1n k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny 2025-ben a GDP 19,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ra emelkedik. R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a h\u00e1bor\u00fa esetleges befejez\u00e9se ut\u00e1n tov\u00e1bbra is magasak lesznek az orsz\u00e1g kiad\u00e1sai, mivel Ukrajna val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg megtartja nagy l\u00e9tsz\u00e1m\u00fa haderej\u00e9t. Ugyanakkor a Fitch jelent\u00e9se szerint a Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap m\u00e1r a 2026-os \u00e9s 2027-es k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1nnyal is tervez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 szerint f\u0151k\u00e9nt 2026-t\u00f3l \u00e9s k\u00e9s\u0151bb bizonytalan a finansz\u00edroz\u00e1s, \u00e1m a foly\u00f3 fizet\u00e9si m\u00e9rleg hi\u00e1nya m\u00e1r id\u00e9n is el\u00e9rheti a GDP 14,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t, \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151re a belf\u00f6ldi hitelfelv\u00e9tel is n\u0151ni fog. A Fitch szerint az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 is tov\u00e1bb emelkedik, id\u00e9n \u00e1tlagosan 12,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k lesz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 szerint a negyedik k\u00e1r- \u00e9s sz\u00fcks\u00e9gletfelm\u00e9r\u00e9s szerint Ukrajna \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9si ig\u00e9nyei a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vtizedben 524 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra r\u00fagnak, ami k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 2,8-szerese Ukrajna 2024-es nomin\u00e1lis GDP-j\u00e9nek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Fitch ugyanakkor arra sz\u00e1m\u00edt, hogy n\u0151ni fog az Ukrajna \u00e1ltal kapott k\u00fclf\u00f6ldi seg\u00edts\u00e9g, mely 55 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r lehet id\u00e9n, szemben a 2022\u20132024 k\u00f6z\u00f6tti \u00e1tlagos \u00e9rt\u00e9kkel, ami az idei \u00e9s r\u00e9szben a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vi kiad\u00e1sokat is fedezheti. Mindez a befagyasztott orosz jegybanki vagyon hozamai \u00e1ltal fedezett hitel felgyors\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1nak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 a kor\u00e1bbi 2,9 helyett az idei \u00e9vre m\u00e1r csak 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9ssel sz\u00e1mol, a tart\u00f3san sz\u0171k munkaer\u0151piac, a g\u00e1zinfrastrukt\u00fara elleni t\u00e1mad\u00e1sok okozta k\u00e1rok \u00e9s a Pokrovszk b\u00e1nya h\u00e1bor\u00fas okok miatti bez\u00e1r\u00e1sa miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az orsz\u00e1g neh\u00e9zs\u00e9gei ellen\u00e9re az ukr\u00e1n bet\u00e9tbiztos\u00edt\u00e1si alap szerint a lakoss\u00e1gi \u00e9s egy\u00e9ni v\u00e1llalkoz\u00f3i sz\u00e1ml\u00e1k bet\u00e9t\u00e1llom\u00e1nya 1,43 ezermilli\u00e1rd hrivny\u00e1t tett ki m\u00e1jus elsej\u00e9n, ami 587,4 milli\u00e1rd hrvny\u00e1s n\u00f6veked\u00e9s 2022 m\u00e1jusa \u00f3ta \u2013 \u00edrja az Ukrajinszka Pravda, hozz\u00e1t\u00e9ve, hogy 918,3 milli\u00e1rd hrivnya-, 510 milli\u00e1rd pedig devizasz\u00e1ml\u00e1kon tal\u00e1lhat\u00f3. Mind a k\u00e9t \u00e9rt\u00e9k n\u0151tt \u00e1prilis \u00f3ta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A bet\u00e9tek t\u00f6bb mint a fele azokon a sz\u00e1ml\u00e1kon tal\u00e1lhat\u00f3, melyek meghaladj\u00e1k a 600 ezer hrivny\u00e1t. Ez azonban mind\u00f6ssze a sz\u00e1ml\u00e1k 0,56 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211; translatorid:vik3255 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Meger\u0151s\u00edtette Ukrajna ad\u00f3sbesorol\u00e1s\u00e1t a korl\u00e1tozott cs\u0151d szintj\u00e9n a Fitch Ratings, miut\u00e1n az orsz\u00e1g nem tudott meg\u00e1llapodni hitelez\u0151ivel ad\u00f3ss\u00e1ga \u00e1t\u00fctemez\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":60498,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,33],"tags":[3795,6933,725643],"class_list":["post-60549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-ukrajna","tag-fitch-ratings","tag-hitelminosites","tag-ukrajna-besorolasa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60549"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60549\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60551,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60549\/revisions\/60551"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60498"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}