{"id":61010,"date":"2025-06-11T14:09:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-11T11:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=61010"},"modified":"2025-06-11T11:51:17","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T08:51:17","slug":"a-vilagbank-legujabb-elorejelzese-szerint-az-ukrajnai-haboru-az-idei-ev-vegeig-tart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=61010&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"A Vil\u00e1gbank leg\u00fajabb el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint az ukrajnai h\u00e1bor\u00fa az idei \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9ig tart"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Vil\u00e1gbank friss\u00edtette glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, a dokumentum tartalmazza a geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatok \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s\u00e9t \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be kedden az rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l a Vil\u00e1gbank 2025 j\u00faniusi jelent\u00e9s\u00e9re<\/a> hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jelent\u00e9s szerint a dokumentum megjegyezte, hogy az Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9s Ukrajna k\u00f6z\u00f6tti esetleges t\u0171zsz\u00fcnetr\u0151l sz\u00f3l\u00f3 t\u00e1rgyal\u00e1sok az \u00e9v elej\u00e9n kezd\u0151dtek, de a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa rendez\u00e9s kil\u00e1t\u00e1sai tov\u00e1bbra is bizonytalanok. Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9se v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 2,0%-r\u00f3l (2025) 5,2%-ra (2026) emelkedik. A n\u00f6veked\u00e9s gyorsul\u00e1sa figyelembe veszi a Vil\u00e1gbank azon v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s\u00e1t, hogy az orosz inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 \u201e2025 v\u00e9g\u00e9ig tart, ezt k\u00f6vet\u0151en az akt\u00edv harcok al\u00e1bbhagynak\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A 2026-ra jelzett n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an a feldolgoz\u00f3iparba \u00e9s az \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9sbe t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok megugr\u00e1sa fogja vez\u00e9relni, m\u00edg az export fellend\u00fcl\u00e9se v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an korl\u00e1tozott marad a kih\u00edv\u00e1sokkal teli kereskedelmi k\u00f6rnyezet \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi bizonytalans\u00e1g miatt. Az \u00fajj\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9si \u00e9s helyre\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1si kiad\u00e1sok becsl\u00e9sek szerint 524 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra r\u00fagnak, ami majdnem h\u00e1romszorosa Ukrajna 2024-es GDP-j\u00e9nek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Vil\u00e1gbank szerint stabil b\u00e9kemeg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s n\u00e9lk\u00fcl egy folyamatos vagy intenz\u00edvebb inv\u00e1zi\u00f3 tov\u00e1bb gyeng\u00edtheti Ukrajna gazdas\u00e1g\u00e1t \u00e9s fenntarthatja a geopolitikai fesz\u00fclts\u00e9geket. Az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s szerint az Ukrajn\u00e1ba ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si folyamatok zavara s\u00falyosb\u00edtja ezeket a kock\u00e1zatokat, mivel az orsz\u00e1g k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1sa tov\u00e1bbra is nagym\u00e9rt\u00e9kben f\u00fcgg az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3 \u00e9s az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok folyamatos t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s\u00e1t\u00f3l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az eur\u00f3pai \u00e9s amerikai t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s kulcsszerepet j\u00e1tszik Ukrajna sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra. A Vil\u00e1gbank sokkal magasabbra \u00e9rt\u00e9keli az EU t\u00e1mogat\u00e1s\u00e1t. A Vil\u00e1gbank 0,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal 2,3%-ra cs\u00f6kkentette a 2025-\u00f6s glob\u00e1lis n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, tekintettel a magasabb v\u00e1mok \u00e9s a n\u00f6vekv\u0151 bizonytalans\u00e1g \u201ejelent\u0151s visszah\u00faz\u00f3 t\u00e9nyez\u0151v\u00e9\u201d v\u00e1lt szinte minden gazdas\u00e1g sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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A Vil\u00e1gbank friss\u00edtette glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t, a dokumentum tartalmazza a geopolitikai kock\u00e1zatok \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":61012,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1593,41,33854,11,17,39],"tags":[3536,466815,26956,12301,1713],"class_list":["post-61010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-nap-hirei","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-war-hu","category-kiemelt-tema","category-surgos","category-vilag","tag-gazdasagi-elorejelzes","tag-haboru-lezarasa","tag-tamogatasok","tag-ukrajna-gazdasaga","tag-vilagbank"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=61010"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61013,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61010\/revisions\/61013"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/61012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=61010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=61010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=61010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}