{"id":61418,"date":"2025-06-26T12:07:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T09:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=61418"},"modified":"2025-06-26T05:10:36","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T02:10:36","slug":"bevagta-a-feket-a-szlovak-gazdasag-szembesultek-a-realitasokkal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=61418&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Bev\u00e1gta a f\u00e9ket a szlov\u00e1k gazdas\u00e1g, szembes\u00fcltek a realit\u00e1sokkal"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A roml\u00f3 nemzetk\u00f6zi k\u00f6rnyezet \u00e9s a folytat\u00f3d\u00f3 takar\u00e9koss\u00e1gi int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt Szlov\u00e1kia gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9se id\u00e9n a kor\u00e1bban v\u00e1rt k\u00f6zel fel\u00e9re esik vissza \u2013 der\u00fcl ki a Szlov\u00e1k Nemzeti Bank friss\u00edtett makrogazdas\u00e1gi progn\u00f3zis\u00e1b\u00f3l. A szlov\u00e1k gazdas\u00e1g a lakoss\u00e1gi fogyaszt\u00e1s visszaes\u00e9se miatt is szenved.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Peter Kazim\u00edr jegybankeln\u00f6k k\u00f6z\u00f6lte, 2025-ben a szlov\u00e1k gazdas\u00e1g 1,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151; a tavaszi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s m\u00e9g 1,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos GDP-n\u00f6vekm\u00e9nyt vet\u00edtett el\u0151re \u2013 igaz, j\u00f6v\u0151re m\u00e1r valamivel magasabb mutat\u00f3t, 1,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot v\u00e1rnak.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"731\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/kazimir.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-61419\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/kazimir.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/kazimir-300x214.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/kazimir-768x548.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Szembes\u00fclt\u00fcnk a val\u00f3s\u00e1ggal, tavaly m\u00e9g abban b\u00edztunk, hogy id\u00e9n ak\u00e1r 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9s is \u00f6sszej\u00f6het \u2013 magyar\u00e1zta Kazim\u00edr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ami az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3t illeti, 2025-ben 4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli \u00e9ves p\u00e9nzroml\u00e1st v\u00e1rnak, ami els\u0151sorban a janu\u00e1rban \u00e9letbe l\u00e9pett magasabb \u00e1faalapkulcs k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nye. Horv\u00e1th Mih\u00e1ly jegybanki cs\u00facsvezet\u0151 viszont arra h\u00edvta fel a figyelmet, hogy j\u00f6v\u0151re az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 \u2013 f\u0151leg az alacsony kereslet miatt \u2013 2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcli szintre m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151dhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nem \u00fassza meg a szlov\u00e1k gazdas\u00e1g a tov\u00e1bbi konszolid\u00e1ci\u00f3t<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A gazdas\u00e1g lef\u00e9kez\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9nek h\u00e1tter\u00e9ben az \u00e1ll, hogy a nemzeti bank m\u00e1r figyelembe vette a Trump-adminisztr\u00e1ci\u00f3 v\u00e1mh\u00e1bor\u00fas terveit, emellett romlottak a geopolitikai felt\u00e9telek is. Tov\u00e1bb\u00e1 kider\u00fclt, hogy a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyminiszt\u00e9rium<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>az idei 2,8 milli\u00e1rd eur\u00f3s konszolid\u00e1ci\u00f3s csomag ut\u00e1n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>j\u00f6v\u0151re tov\u00e1bbi, 1,7-1,8 milli\u00e1rdos takar\u00e9koss\u00e1gi int\u00e9zked\u00e9stervezetet \u00e1ll\u00edt \u00f6ssze, amely minden bizonnyal visszafogja a lakoss\u00e1gi fogyaszt\u00e1st.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Azt se felejts\u00fck el, hogy a szlov\u00e1k gazdas\u00e1g az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben csup\u00e1n 0,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal b\u0151v\u00fclt 2024 utols\u00f3 negyed\u00e9hez k\u00e9pest. A v\u00e1llalkoz\u00f3i szf\u00e9ra helyzet\u00e9nek roml\u00e1s\u00e1t meg\u00e9rzi a munkaer\u0151piac is, n\u0151het az \u00e1ll\u00e1stalanok ar\u00e1nya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kor\u00e1bban a munkaer\u0151piac ellen\u00e1llt a sokkoknak \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi stabilit\u00e1s pill\u00e9re volt, most viszont e t\u00e9ren is v\u00e1ltozott a helyzet \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1 a jegybankeln\u00f6k.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"781\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/fraf.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-61420\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/fraf.png 781w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/fraf-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/fraf-768x461.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 781px) 100vw, 781px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Az \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g 60 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k f\u00f6l\u00e9 k\u00faszhat<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Horv\u00e1th Mih\u00e1ly szerint k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az iparban romlik a helyzet, ahol m\u00e1r m\u00e1sodik \u00e9ve \u00e9rz\u0151dik az elbocs\u00e1t\u00e1sok hat\u00e1sa, igaz, eddig az utc\u00e1ra ker\u00fcl\u0151k mindig tal\u00e1ltak munk\u00e1t, k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en a szlov\u00e1k m\u00e9rc\u00e9vel t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi m\u00e9lypontnak mondhat\u00f3, alig 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9gnek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A nomin\u00e1lis b\u00e9rek ugyan n\u0151nek, azonban a tavalyin\u00e1l lassabb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2024-ben 5,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k volt a n\u00f6vekm\u00e9ny,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>id\u00e9n m\u00e1r csak 4,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot v\u00e1rnak (ez alig egy sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos re\u00e1lb\u00e9r-n\u00f6veked\u00e9st tesz lehet\u0151v\u00e9),<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>j\u00f6v\u0151re pedig 4,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k a progn\u00f3zis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A nemzeti bank ebben az \u00e9vben a GDP 4,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t el\u00e9r\u0151 \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1si hi\u00e1nyt v\u00e1r,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>a GDP-hez m\u00e9rt \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g pedig \u00e1tl\u00e9pi a 60 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A jegybank elker\u00fclhetetlennek tartja a tov\u00e1bbi konszolid\u00e1ci\u00f3s int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket, mert ezek n\u00e9lk\u00fcl rendre 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k f\u00f6l\u00e9 k\u00faszhatna az \u00e9ves \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1si hi\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vg.hu\/nemzetkozi-gazdasag\/2025\/06\/szlovak-gazdasag\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">(vg.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A roml\u00f3 nemzetk\u00f6zi k\u00f6rnyezet \u00e9s a folytat\u00f3d\u00f3 takar\u00e9koss\u00e1gi int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt Szlov\u00e1kia gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9se id\u00e9n a kor\u00e1bban v\u00e1rt k\u00f6zel fel\u00e9re esik vissza.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":61419,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[698997],"class_list":["post-61418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-szlovak-gazdasag"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=61418"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61418\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61421,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61418\/revisions\/61421"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/61419"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=61418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=61418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=61418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}