{"id":62718,"date":"2025-08-09T20:08:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T17:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=62718"},"modified":"2025-08-09T12:19:44","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T09:19:44","slug":"ket-ev-utan-eloszor-csokkentek-az-arak-ukrajnaban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=62718&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"K\u00e9t \u00e9v ut\u00e1n el\u0151sz\u00f6r cs\u00f6kkentek az \u00e1rak Ukrajn\u00e1ban"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ukrajn\u00e1ban a ny\u00e1ri defl\u00e1ci\u00f3 egy hagyom\u00e1nyos jelens\u00e9g, amikor az \u00faj term\u00e9s \u00e9rkez\u00e9se miatt cs\u00f6kkennek az \u00e1rak, a tavalyi sz\u00fcnet ut\u00e1n ism\u00e9t regisztr\u00e1lt\u00e1k \u2013 sz\u00e1molt be p\u00e9nteken az rbc.ua<\/a> h\u00edrport\u00e1l az \u00c1llami Statisztikai Szolg\u00e1lat k\u00f6zl\u00e9s\u00e9re hivatkozva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jelent\u00e9s szerint a statisztikai szolg\u00e1lat jelezte, hogy a fogyaszt\u00f3i \u00e1rak j\u00faliusban 0,2%-kal cs\u00f6kkentek. Az utols\u00f3 \u00e1rcs\u00f6kken\u00e9st 2023 augusztus\u00e1ban figyelt\u00e9k meg (1,4%-kal). Az \u00e9ves infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 2025 j\u00falius\u00e1ban 14,1%-ra lassult a j\u00faniusi 14,3%-r\u00f3l. A statisztikai hivatal adatai szerint az \u00e9lelmiszerek \u00e9s az alkoholmentes italok \u00e1ra 1,1%-kal cs\u00f6kkent a h\u00f3nap folyam\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A z\u00f6lds\u00e9gek \u00e1ra cs\u00f6kkent a legnagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u2013 23,9%-kal. A z\u00f6lds\u00e9gek az ukr\u00e1nok kiad\u00e1sainak 2,8%-\u00e1t teszik ki. \u00c1raik ny\u00e1ron jelent\u0151sen ingadoznak, ami az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s r\u00e1ta megugr\u00e1s\u00e1hoz vezet. Id\u00e9n 0,7%-os infl\u00e1ci\u00f3cs\u00f6kken\u00e9shez vezettek. Emellett a cukor \u00e1ra 2,8%-kal cs\u00f6kkent. M\u00e1s term\u00e9kek \u00e1rai emelkedtek, de legfeljebb 2%-kal, aminek nem volt jelent\u0151s hat\u00e1sa az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

J\u00faliusban az NBU 9,7%-ra m\u00f3dos\u00edtotta a 2025-\u00f6s teljes infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t (kor\u00e1bban egy alacsonyabb, 8,7%-os \u00e9rt\u00e9ket j\u00f3soltak). A cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s 2026-ban is folytat\u00f3dik, 6,6%-ra, \u00e9s az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 csak 2027-ben t\u00e9r vissza az 5%-os c\u00e9l\u00e9rt\u00e9kre. A korm\u00e1ny jelenlegi, 2025-re vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a december-decemberi infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 9,5% lesz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A 2026\u20132028-as id\u0151szakra vonatkoz\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s k\u00e9t forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyvet tartalmaz az esem\u00e9nyek alakul\u00e1s\u00e1ra vonatkoz\u00f3an: egy optimist\u00e1t, amely \u201ea biztons\u00e1gi helyzet jelent\u0151s javul\u00e1s\u00e1nak felt\u00e9telez\u00e9s\u00e9t tartalmazza 2026-t\u00f3l kezd\u0151d\u0151en\u201d, \u00e9s egy pesszimist\u00e1t \u2013 a teljes k\u00f6r\u0171 orosz agresszi\u00f3 folytat\u00e1s\u00e1val.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az els\u0151 forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv szerint az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 (decembert\u0151l decemberig) a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 lesz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • 2026 \u2013 8,6%,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • 2027 \u2013 5,9%,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • 2028 \u2013 5,3%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    A m\u00e1sodik forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyvben az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151k\u00e9ppen alakul:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • 2026 \u2013 9,9%,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • 2027 \u2013 9,4%,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • 2028 \u2013 7,5%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      (vb\/rbc.ua)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      <!– creatorid:bey5821 –><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Ukrajn\u00e1ban a ny\u00e1ri defl\u00e1ci\u00f3 egy hagyom\u00e1nyos jelens\u00e9g, amikor az \u00faj term\u00e9s \u00e9rkez\u00e9se miatt cs\u00f6kkennek az \u00e1rak, a tavalyi sz\u00fcnet ut\u00e1n ism\u00e9t regisztr\u00e1lt\u00e1k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":62719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1593,41,11,33],"tags":[1437,920795,875],"class_list":["post-62718","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual-hu","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-ukrajna","tag-arcsokkenes","tag-deflacio","tag-statisztika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62718","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=62718"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62718\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62720,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62718\/revisions\/62720"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/62719"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=62718"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=62718"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=62718"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}