{"id":69028,"date":"2026-03-10T21:25:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T19:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69028"},"modified":"2026-03-10T06:18:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T04:18:22","slug":"az-irani-haboru-elmelyiti-a-kaoszt-az-olajpiacon-az-arak-meghaladhatjak-a-hordonkenti-100-dollart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69028&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa elm\u00e9ly\u00edti a k\u00e1oszt az olajpiacon, az \u00e1rak meghaladhatj\u00e1k a hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti 100 doll\u00e1rt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A glob\u00e1lis olajpiac m\u00e9ly instabilit\u00e1sba ker\u00fclt az Ir\u00e1n k\u00f6r\u00fcli h\u00e1bor\u00fa \u00e9s a Hormuzi-szoros blok\u00e1dja miatt, sz\u00e1molt be a Bloomberg.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az olajsz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s zavarai miatt a r\u00e9gi\u00f3 orsz\u00e1gai elkezdt\u00e9k cs\u00f6kkenteni a termel\u00e9st. T\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt az Egyes\u00fclt Arab Em\u00edrs\u00e9gek \u00e9s Kuvait m\u00e1r cs\u00f6kkentette a termel\u00e9st a t\u00e1rol\u00f3l\u00e9tes\u00edtm\u00e9nyek tel\u00edtetts\u00e9ge miatt. Csatlakozott hozz\u00e1juk Irak, ahol a termel\u00e9s mintegy 60%-kal esett vissza. A helyzetet s\u00falyosb\u00edtja, hogy az olajsz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3 tart\u00e1lyhaj\u00f3k ker\u00fclik a Hormuzi-szoroson val\u00f3 \u00e1thalad\u00e1st, ami jelent\u0151sen cs\u00f6kkenti az olajsz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1sra rendelkez\u00e9sre \u00e1ll\u00f3 haj\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/233219-1-large-1-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-68967\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/233219-1-large-1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/233219-1-large-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/233219-1-large-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/233219-1-large-1.jpg 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az eszkal\u00e1ci\u00f3 kapcs\u00e1n az elemz\u0151k arra figyelmeztetnek, hogy az olaj\u00e1rak gyorsan megk\u00f6zel\u00edthetik a hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti 100 doll\u00e1rt. A m\u00falt h\u00e9ten a Brent nyersolaj \u00e1ra mintegy 30%-kal emelkedett, ami hat \u00e9v \u00f3ta a legmagasabb \u00e9rt\u00e9k. A legink\u00e1bb \u00e9rintett orsz\u00e1gok azok az \u00e1zsiai orsz\u00e1gok, amelyek nagym\u00e9rt\u00e9kben f\u00fcggenek a k\u00f6zel-keleti olajt\u00f3l. Jap\u00e1n p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul olajimportj\u00e1nak t\u00f6bb mint 90%-\u00e1t a r\u00e9gi\u00f3b\u00f3l szerzi be, \u00e9s a helyi finom\u00edt\u00f3k m\u00e1r enged\u00e9lyt k\u00e9rnek a strat\u00e9giai tartal\u00e9kok felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1ra. K\u00edna ek\u00f6zben cs\u00f6kkenti az \u00fczemanyag-exportot a hazai k\u00e9szletek meg\u0151rz\u00e9se \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben, D\u00e9l-Korea pedig 30 \u00e9v ut\u00e1n el\u0151sz\u00f6r fontolgatja az olaj\u00e1r-plafon bevezet\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az ING Groep elemz\u0151inek el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint alapesetben k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl n\u00e9gy h\u00e9t ell\u00e1t\u00e1si zavar v\u00e1rhat\u00f3: ebb\u0151l k\u00e9t h\u00e9t a teljes destabiliz\u00e1ci\u00f3, tov\u00e1bbi k\u00e9t h\u00e9t r\u00e9szleges fellend\u00fcl\u00e9s. A legrosszabb esetben azonban az olaj- \u00e9s LNG-ell\u00e1t\u00e1s zavarai ak\u00e1r h\u00e1rom h\u00f3napig is eltarthatnak. Ebben az esetben az olaj\u00e1rak m\u00e1r az \u00e9v m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi cs\u00facsokat \u00e9rhetnek el.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A glob\u00e1lis olajpiac m\u00e9ly instabilit\u00e1sba ker\u00fclt az Ir\u00e1n k\u00f6r\u00fcli h\u00e1bor\u00fa \u00e9s a Hormuzi-szoros blok\u00e1dja miatt, sz\u00e1molt be a Bloomberg.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":68967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[1518083,5072],"class_list":["post-69028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-irani-haboru","tag-olajar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=69028"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69028\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69029,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69028\/revisions\/69029"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/68967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=69028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=69028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=69028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}