{"id":69205,"date":"2026-03-14T10:43:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T08:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69205"},"modified":"2026-03-13T18:46:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T16:46:23","slug":"az-obol-menti-orszagoknak-a-haboru-15-milliard-dollarba-kerult","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69205&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Az \u00d6b\u00f6l-menti orsz\u00e1goknak a h\u00e1bor\u00fa 15 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rba ker\u00fclt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Hormuzi-szoros lez\u00e1r\u00e1sa tov\u00e1bbra is t\u00f6bb milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 nyersolaj sz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t akad\u00e1lyozza. A Financial Times jelent\u00e9se szerint a Kpler elemz\u0151c\u00e9g becsl\u00e9sei szerint az \u00d6b\u00f6l-menti \u00e1llamok mintegy 15,1 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rnyi energiabev\u00e9telt\u0151l estek el, mi\u00f3ta az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Izrael csap\u00e1st m\u00e9rt Ir\u00e1nra.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az elemz\u0151k sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1sai szerint naponta k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 1,2 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 olajat, k\u0151olajterm\u00e9ket \u00e9s cseppfoly\u00f3s\u00edtott f\u00f6ldg\u00e1zt sz\u00e1ll\u00edtanak a Hormuzi-szoroson kereszt\u00fcl.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"610\" height=\"385\" src=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4391270.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-69169\" style=\"width:756px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4391270.jpg 610w, https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/4391270-300x189.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 610px) 100vw, 610px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Miut\u00e1n a konfliktus febru\u00e1r 28-\u00e1n eszkal\u00e1l\u00f3dott, a kulcsfontoss\u00e1g\u00fa haj\u00f3z\u00e1si \u00fatvonalon a forgalom szinte teljesen le\u00e1llt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Florian Gr\u00fcnberger elemz\u0151 elmond\u00e1sa szerint a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti id\u0151szakhoz k\u00e9pest ma m\u00e1r csak \u201ekisebb\u201d mennyis\u00e9g\u0171 \u00e1ru halad \u00e1t a szoroson. A blokkolt sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyok legnagyobb r\u00e9sz\u00e9t a nyersolaj teszi ki \u2013 a teljes \u00e9rt\u00e9k 71%-\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia, mint a legnagyobb olajexport\u0151r szenvedte el a legnagyobb vesztes\u00e9geket. A Wood Mackenzie becsl\u00e9se szerint a kir\u00e1lys\u00e1g a h\u00e1bor\u00fa kezdete \u00f3ta mintegy 4,5 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rt vesz\u00edtett. Ugyanakkor az orsz\u00e1g a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 napokban a V\u00f6r\u00f6s-tengeren kereszt\u00fcli export jelent\u0151s n\u00f6vel\u00e9s\u00e9t tervezi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Peter Martin, a Wood Mackenzie gazdas\u00e1gi vezet\u0151je szerint Irak k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen sebezhet\u0151, mivel k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si bev\u00e9teleinek mintegy 90%-a az olaj\u00e1gazatb\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmazik. \u201eKuvait \u00e9s Katar is nagym\u00e9rt\u00e9kben f\u00fcgg az energiaexportt\u00f3l, de nagy \u00e1llami vagyonalapokkal rendelkeznek, amelyek tomp\u00edthatj\u00e1k a r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyeket\u201d \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Kpler adatai szerint legal\u00e1bb 10,7 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 nyersolaj, k\u0151olajterm\u00e9k \u00e9s cseppfoly\u00f3s\u00edtott f\u00f6ldg\u00e1z sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1ny van m\u00e9g mindig reteszelve a Hormuzi-szorosban. Ezen sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyok egy r\u00e9sz\u00e9t m\u00e1r a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tt al\u00e1\u00edrt hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa szerz\u0151d\u00e9sek keret\u00e9ben \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edtett\u00e9k, \u00edgy a fizet\u00e9si felt\u00e9telekt\u0151l f\u00fcgg\u0151en, amelyek jellemz\u0151en a berakod\u00e1s ut\u00e1n 15-30 nap, bev\u00e9telt termelhetnek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Kayrros t\u00e1rsalap\u00edt\u00f3ja, Antoine Halff szerint Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia jobban \u00e1tv\u00e9szeli az export zavarait, mint Irak, amely szerinte nagyobb p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi vesztes\u00e9geket kock\u00e1ztat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bi\u00e1nak is vannak olajk\u00e9szletei tengerent\u00fali rakt\u00e1rakban, \u00e9s egy ideig m\u00e9g ell\u00e1thatja a fogyaszt\u00f3kat. Ezenk\u00edv\u00fcl a n\u00f6vekv\u0151 glob\u00e1lis olaj\u00e1rak r\u00e9szben ellens\u00falyozz\u00e1k a cs\u00f6kkent exportb\u00f3l ered\u0151 vesztes\u00e9geket. Ugyanakkor a magasabb energia\u00e1rak f\u0151 p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi terhe v\u00e9gs\u0151 soron az aut\u00f3sokra \u00e9s m\u00e1s v\u00e9gfelhaszn\u00e1l\u00f3kra h\u00e1rul.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Wood Mackenzie becsl\u00e9sei szerint a Perzsa-\u00f6b\u00f6l olajtermel\u0151 orsz\u00e1gai \u2013 k\u00f6zt\u00fck Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia, Irak, az Egyes\u00fclt Arab Em\u00edrs\u00e9gek, Kuvait \u00e9s Bahrein \u2013 egy\u00fcttesen 13,3 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9st halasztottak el.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meg kell jegyezni, hogy az Ir\u00e1n elleni amerikai katonai m\u0171velet els\u0151 100 \u00f3r\u00e1ja k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 3,7 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rba ker\u00fclt, ami napi szinten k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl 891 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1rt jelent. Az erre vonatkoz\u00f3 sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1st a Strat\u00e9giai \u00e9s Nemzetk\u00f6zi Tanulm\u00e1nyok K\u00f6zpontja (CSIS) tette k\u00f6zz\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&lt;!&#8211;translatorid:ild5234 &#8211;&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Hormuzi-szoros lez\u00e1r\u00e1sa tov\u00e1bbra is t\u00f6bb milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 nyersolaj sz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t akad\u00e1lyozza. A Financial Times jelent\u00e9se szerint a Kpler elemz\u0151c\u00e9g becsl\u00e9sei szerint az \u00d6b\u00f6l-menti \u00e1llamok mintegy 15,1 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rnyi energiabev\u00e9telt\u0151l estek el, mi\u00f3ta az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Izrael csap\u00e1st m\u00e9rt Ir\u00e1nra.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":69169,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[1518083,1525716,5757],"class_list":["post-69205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-irani-haboru","tag-obol-menti-orszagok","tag-veszteseg"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=69205"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69205\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69206,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69205\/revisions\/69206"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/69169"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=69205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=69205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=69205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}