{"id":69967,"date":"2026-04-08T20:14:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T17:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69967"},"modified":"2026-04-08T05:16:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:16:10","slug":"imf-drasztikusan-beszukult-a-gazdasagpolitikai-mozgaster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/?p=69967&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"IMF: drasztikusan besz\u0171k\u00fclt a gazdas\u00e1gpolitikai mozg\u00e1st\u00e9r"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an lefel\u00e9 m\u00f3dos\u00edtja idei glob\u00e1lis n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte kedden Kristalina Georgieva, a szervezet vez\u00e9rigazgat\u00f3ja, miut\u00e1n el\u0151z\u0151 nap m\u00e1r besz\u00e9lt a kil\u00e1t\u00e1sok roml\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l. A konfliktus kit\u00f6r\u00e9se el\u0151tt az IMF m\u00e9g a progn\u00f3zis jav\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t tervezte, az energiaell\u00e1t\u00e1si v\u00e1ls\u00e1g azonban alapvet\u0151en megv\u00e1ltoztatta az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9st \u2013 \u00edrja a Bloomberg.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Izrael febru\u00e1r 28-\u00e1n ind\u00edtott ir\u00e1ni t\u00e1mad\u00e1sa \u00f3ta akadoznak az \u00d6b\u00f6l-t\u00e9rs\u00e9gb\u0151l \u00e9rkez\u0151 energiasz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyok. Ez klasszikus negat\u00edv k\u00edn\u00e1lati sokkot okozott a piacon. A Brent nyersolaj \u00e1ra a h\u00e1bor\u00fa el\u0151tti hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti 70 doll\u00e1rr\u00f3l nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l 110 doll\u00e1rra ugrott. A d\u00edzel \u00e9s a kerozin \u00e1ra pedig enn\u00e9l is meredekebben emelkedett.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Georgieva szerint \u00e9ppen ez\u00e9rt az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 elleni fell\u00e9p\u00e9snek kell priorit\u00e1st \u00e9lveznie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az IMF vezet\u0151je arra figyelmeztetett, hogy a vil\u00e1g ma j\u00f3val kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 felk\u00e9sz\u00fclt egy komolyabb gazdas\u00e1gi visszaes\u00e9s kezel\u00e9s\u00e9re, mint a koronav\u00edrus-j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny el\u0151tt volt. A pand\u00e9mia \u00e9s az ukrajnai h\u00e1bor\u00fa ut\u00e1n a legt\u00f6bb korm\u00e1ny gazdas\u00e1gpolitikai mozg\u00e1stere besz\u0171k\u00fclt, mik\u00f6zben az \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g szintje \u00e9rdemben nem cs\u00f6kkent. Ezzel p\u00e1rhuzamosan a nagyhatalmi fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek megnehez\u00edtik a v\u00e1ls\u00e1gkezel\u00e9shez elengedhetetlen nemzetk\u00f6zi egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az energiapiaci zavarok mellett a konfliktus a glob\u00e1lis m\u0171tr\u00e1gyaell\u00e1t\u00e1st is megakasztotta, ami m\u00e1r a nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00e9lelmez\u00e9sbiztons\u00e1got is fenyegeti. Az ENSZ Vil\u00e1g\u00e9lelmez\u00e9si Programja (WFP) szerint a h\u00e1bor\u00fa elh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00e1sa \u00e9s a tart\u00f3san sz\u00e1z doll\u00e1r feletti olaj\u00e1r eset\u00e9n tov\u00e1bbi 45 milli\u00f3 ember n\u00e9zhet szembe s\u00falyos \u00e9lelmez\u00e9si v\u00e1ls\u00e1ggal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A gazdas\u00e1gi sokk hat\u00e1sai aszimmetrikusak. A legsebezhet\u0151bb helyzetben a konfliktushoz f\u00f6ldrajzilag k\u00f6zelebb l\u00e9v\u0151, nett\u00f3 energiaimport\u0151r \u00e9s sz\u0171k k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si mozg\u00e1st\u00e9rrel rendelkez\u0151 orsz\u00e1gok vannak. K\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen igaz ez a Perzsa-\u00f6b\u00f6lb\u0151l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 energi\u00e1t\u00f3l er\u0151sen f\u00fcgg\u0151 \u00e1zsiai r\u00e9gi\u00f3ra. T\u00f6bb korm\u00e1ny m\u00e1r hat\u00f3s\u00e1gi \u00e1rakkal \u00e9s t\u00e1mogat\u00e1sokkal pr\u00f3b\u00e1lja tomp\u00edtani az energia\u00e1rak emelked\u00e9s\u00e9nek hat\u00e1sait. Georgieva azonban \u00f3va intett att\u00f3l, hogy ezek az int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek meghaladj\u00e1k az adott orsz\u00e1gok k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si teherb\u00edr\u00f3 k\u00e9pess\u00e9g\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az exportkorl\u00e1toz\u00e1sokat pedig egyenesen k\u00e1rosnak nevezte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A jegybankok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra az IMF vez\u00e9rigazgat\u00f3ja szerint a legf\u0151bb kih\u00edv\u00e1s az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 let\u00f6r\u00e9se \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s fenntart\u00e1sa k\u00f6z\u00f6tti egyens\u00faly megtal\u00e1l\u00e1sa lesz. Ez \u00e9les ellent\u00e9tben \u00e1ll a 2020-as koronav\u00edrus-v\u00e1ls\u00e1ggal. Akkor a kereslet \u00e9s a k\u00edn\u00e1lat egyidej\u0171 visszaes\u00e9se miatt a fisk\u00e1lis \u00e9s a monet\u00e1ris politikai v\u00e1laszl\u00e9p\u00e9seket m\u00e9g k\u00f6nnyen \u00f6ssze lehetett hangolni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az IMF \u00faj makrogazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sei a j\u00f6v\u0151 h\u00e9ten, a szervezet washingtoni tavaszi \u00fcl\u00e9sszak\u00e1n v\u00e1lnak hivataloss\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap (IMF) az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa miatt v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an lefel\u00e9 m\u00f3dos\u00edtja idei glob\u00e1lis n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t \u2013 k\u00f6z\u00f6lte kedden Kristalina Georgieva.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":69968,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,11,39],"tags":[12607,1309,13764,33650],"class_list":["post-69967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-kiemelt-tema","category-vilag","tag-figyelmeztetes","tag-gazdasagi-valsag","tag-kristalina-georgieva","tag-nemzetkozi-valutaalap-imf"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=69967"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69967\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69969,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69967\/revisions\/69969"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/69968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=69967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=69967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/economic.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=69967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}